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日本央行加息预期升温 美元/日元上升动能受限
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-08-25 12:31
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the Japanese yen is experiencing limited upward momentum despite a short-term rebound, as the Bank of Japan's Governor Ueda has signaled that conditions for interest rate hikes are gradually forming, increasing market expectations for tighter monetary policy in Japan [1] - Japan's core CPI for July rose by 3.1% year-on-year, exceeding the market expectation of 3.0%, despite showing signs of cooling for the second consecutive month, reinforcing expectations for potential interest rate hikes in the coming months [1][1] - The optimistic signals from the Bank of Japan's Governor Ueda suggest that wage growth is spreading from large enterprises to small and medium-sized enterprises, likely accelerating due to a tightening labor market [1] Group 2 - From a technical perspective, the USD/JPY exchange rate is currently positioned in the lower-middle range of recent fluctuations, with the dollar index reported at 97.88 [2] - Key resistance for the USD/JPY exchange rate is observed at the 148.40 level, while important support levels are noted at 146.83 and 146.43 [2] - Technical indicators suggest that short-term momentum may weaken, but the overall trend requires observation to determine if key support or resistance levels can be effectively broken [3]