1月29日上午，国务院新闻办举行了新闻发布会，介绍2026年春运形势和工作安排。发布会上介绍， 2026年春运将于2月2日启动，至3月13日结束，历时40天。据预测，今年春运期间全社会跨区域人员流 动量将达到95亿人次，创历史新高。2026年春运形势会怎么样？回家的票好不好买？2026年春运天气整 体特征怎么样？ 2026年春运将如何应对"大考"？ 据预测，今年春运期间全社会跨区域人员流动量将达到95亿人次，创历史新高。和去年相比，可能会增 加5亿人次的流动量，这对春运的整个系统来说，提出了什么样的挑战？会有多大的压力？ 北京交通大学交通运输学院运输管理工程系主任 魏玉光：2026年春运是个"大春运"。 春运出行数量上短期内有一个暴增。因为时间拉长，出行的规律具有不确定性。春运高峰日客流发送量 相当于是淡季时的近三倍，这对运输部门、铁路部门带来了很大挑战。 春节天气的不确定性。如果遇到恶劣天气造成高速公路关闭、航班停运、高铁以及部分班次的停运，会 造成铁路、公路、航空运力的下降，更加剧供需矛盾。 所以，无论是客流数量的巨大、天气的影响，以及出行结构的变化，都对今年政府和运输部门提出了一 个"大考"。 如何看待 ...

Core Viewpoint - The 2026 Spring Festival travel season in China is expected to see a total of 539 million passengers, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.0% from the previous year, with ticket sales starting on January 19 [1]. Group 1: Passenger Volume and Travel Plans - The Spring Festival travel period will last for 40 days, starting from February 2 to March 13, 2026 [1]. - The peak travel days are anticipated to be February 13 before the festival and February 23 after the festival, with a maximum of over 14,000 passenger trains scheduled to operate on peak days, reflecting a 5.3% increase in seating capacity [1]. Group 2: Ticketing and Service Enhancements - The railway ticketing service will introduce new features such as limited-time free refunds for mistakenly purchased tickets and enhanced information services to improve the passenger experience [2]. - Additional ticket purchase opportunities will be provided for specific groups, including two extra discounted ticket purchases for 2026 college graduates seeking jobs in different locations, as well as continued discounts for students and workers [2]. Group 3: Demand Management and Recommendations - The railway department will utilize big data from the 12306 platform to analyze passenger demand in real-time and adjust ticket availability accordingly, ensuring a balance between long-distance and short-distance travel needs [3]. - Passengers are encouraged to plan their trips early and utilize features such as ticket reminders and the ticket reservation service to maximize their chances of securing tickets [3].