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当“雪王”成为资本市场的“价值共识”
华尔街见闻· 2025-03-04 04:15
Core Viewpoint - The successful IPO of Mixue Ice City reflects a strong consensus on its investment value and the potential for a rebound in the Chinese consumer industry, driven by its "high-quality and affordable" business model [4][10][19]. Group 1: IPO Performance - On its first trading day, Mixue's stock opened at 262 HKD, up 29.38% from the issue price, quickly surpassing a market capitalization of 100 billion HKD [2]. - The IPO saw a subscription rate of 5258 times, with frozen capital exceeding 1.82 trillion HKD, setting a new record for Hong Kong stocks [3]. Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - Mixue Ice City has become the world's largest beverage company by store count, surpassing Starbucks, with over 46,000 stores across 31 provinces and cities in China [5][6]. - The company targets the lower-income demographic, with 57.2% of its stores located in third-tier cities and below, emphasizing its focus on the "downstream market" [6][8]. Group 3: Cost Structure and Supply Chain - Mixue's production facilities have expanded to 790,000 square meters, allowing it to maintain a cost advantage of over 20% on common fruit ingredients compared to competitors [7][8]. - The company has built a self-sufficient supply chain, enabling it to control raw material pricing and create a cost moat that is difficult for competitors to replicate [8]. Group 4: Brand and Market Penetration - Mixue's marketing strategy includes catchy jingles that enhance brand recognition, demonstrating the effectiveness of auditory marketing in building brand equity [9]. - The brand's penetration reflects the release of consumer potential in the Chinese market, with significant market share in the beverage sector [10]. Group 5: Investment Interest - Top-tier investors, including M&G Investments and Sequoia China, have shown strong interest in Mixue, indicating confidence in its long-term value and business model [14][15]. - The global ready-to-drink beverage market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 7.2% from 2023 to 2028, highlighting the potential for Mixue's expansion [15]. Group 6: International Expansion - Mixue has established a presence in Southeast Asia, with over 4,800 stores, becoming the leading ready-to-drink tea brand in the region [16]. - The company aims to provide high-quality and affordable beverages globally, indicating significant long-term growth potential [20].