暑运旺季供需改善

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航空股走强 东航、南航涨超5% 机构看好暑运旺季供需改善带来的票价回升
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-15 03:27
Group 1 - The Hong Kong aviation stocks have strengthened, with China Eastern Airlines and China Southern Airlines rising over 5%, China National Aviation increasing by 3%, and Cathay Pacific up over 1% [1][2] - The China Air Transport Association has recently released a self-discipline convention for air passenger transport, aiming to enhance industry self-regulation and eliminate malicious competition aimed at excluding rivals [1] - According to Cinda Securities, the current short-term increase in industry capacity is significant, while demand is expected to take time to recover. The industry’s passenger load factor remains high, indicating an improving supply-demand relationship, which is likely to drive ticket prices upward [1] Group 2 - The report highlights the expectation of improved supply-demand dynamics during the summer travel peak season, which is anticipated to lead to a recovery in ticket prices. Key airlines to focus on include China National Aviation, China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, Spring Airlines, and Juneyao Airlines [1]
港股异动丨航空股走强 东航、南航涨超5% 机构看好暑运旺季供需改善带来的票价回升
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-08-15 03:21
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant increase in Hong Kong airline stocks, with China Eastern Airlines and China Southern Airlines rising over 5%, and Air China increasing by 3% [1] - The Civil Aviation Administration of China has released a self-discipline convention for air transport, aiming to strengthen industry self-regulation and eliminate malicious competition aimed at excluding rivals [1] - According to Cinda Securities, the current short-term increase in industry capacity is substantial, while demand is expected to take time to recover; however, the high passenger load factor indicates an improving supply-demand relationship, which is likely to drive ticket prices upward [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the potential for ticket price recovery during the peak summer travel season due to improved supply and demand dynamics [1] - Key airlines to watch include Air China, China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, Spring Airlines, and Juneyao Airlines, as they are expected to benefit from the anticipated recovery in ticket prices [1] - The latest stock prices and percentage changes for the airlines mentioned are as follows: China Eastern Airlines at 3.120 (up 5.41%), China Southern Airlines at 4.020 (up 5.24%), Air China at 5.560 (up 2.96%), and Cathay Pacific at 10.840 (up 1.12%) [1]
航空运输协会发布自律公约,券商看好暑运旺季供需改善
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-08-15 01:06
Group 1 - The China Air Transport Association has released a self-regulatory convention for air passenger transport, emphasizing the need for industry self-discipline and prohibiting malicious competition aimed at excluding rivals [1] - The convention also calls for enhanced supervision of airline sales networks and agents, banning practices such as bundled sales and hidden charges [1] Group 2 - According to the "2024 Civil Aviation Industry Development Statistical Bulletin," China's civil aviation industry achieved a total transport turnover of 148.517 billion ton-kilometers in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 25.0%, with both passenger and cargo transport turnover exceeding 2019 levels [3] - Analysis from United Ratings indicates strong demand in the air passenger market for 2024, with domestic routes supporting the market and international passenger transport continuing to recover rapidly [3] - Despite increased capacity investment and soft demand for business travel, some airlines have not yet returned to profitability due to various factors including exchange rate fluctuations [3] - According to Xinda Securities, the industry has maintained high seat occupancy rates since early 2025, with low growth in domestic route capacity and a focus on increasing international routes [3] - The airline fleet's net growth rate is below 3%, leading to a relatively tight supply, while domestic route turnover has shown steady growth and international route turnover has significantly increased, nearly recovering to 2019 levels [3] - Xinda Securities also notes that while short-term capacity investment is high and demand needs time to recover, the sustained high occupancy rates indicate an improving supply-demand relationship, which is expected to drive ticket prices up [3] - The report suggests focusing on airlines such as Air China, China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, Spring Airlines, and Juneyao Airlines due to anticipated improvements in supply and demand during the peak summer travel season [3]