Core Viewpoint - The trade deficit of the United States expanded to $78.3 billion in July, contrary to the expectations set by the tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, which aimed to reduce this deficit [1][3]. Trade Deficit Analysis - The trade deficit increased by 32.5% compared to the previous year, significantly surpassing market predictions of $75.7 billion [1]. - The goods deficit reached $103.9 billion, a surge of 21.2%, while the deficit with China expanded to $14.7 billion despite a reduction in trade volume [4]. - The trade deficits with Vietnam and Mexico have now exceeded that with China, indicating a shift in trade dynamics [4]. Economic Factors - The persistent trade deficit is attributed to the U.S. economy's "low savings - high consumption" model, which leads to a demand-supply gap that necessitates imports [4][6]. - The manufacturing sector's contribution to GDP has declined from 25% in 1960 to an estimated 10% in 2024, highlighting the severity of industrial hollowing [6]. Service and Financial Surplus - Despite the large goods trade deficit, the U.S. enjoys a significant service trade surplus, projected to reach $295 billion in 2024, driven by its advanced technology and financial sectors [10]. - The cycle of goods deficit leading to dollar accumulation allows foreign nations to invest back into U.S. assets, including Treasury bonds and equities [10]. Tariff Strategy - The imposition of tariffs appears to be a strategy to generate revenue for the U.S. government, which is facing a debt exceeding $37 trillion [12]. - The burden of tariffs is shared among production countries, U.S. companies, and consumers, leading to increased costs for American buyers [12]. Global Economic Sentiment - The increase in gold reserves by central banks, including China's, reflects a growing distrust in the established financial system, indicating a potential shift in global economic confidence [13].

Group 1 - India's merchandise trade deficit in June was $18.78 billion [1] - The services trade surplus for India in June was $15.26 billion [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes China's criticism of the United States' misleading narrative regarding "reciprocal tariffs" and calls for adherence to WTO rules through multilateral cooperation rather than unilateral measures [1] Group 1: Trade Surplus and Economic Impact - The U.S. is identified as the largest service trade surplus country globally, with a projected surplus nearing $300 billion in 2024 [1] - The U.S. benefits significantly from its deep involvement in high-value segments of the global value chain, such as research, design, and sales, yielding returns that exceed what trade data indicates [1] Group 2: Critique of U.S. Trade Practices - The article points out that the U.S. selectively discusses losses in goods trade while ignoring profits in service trade, which is seen as a misleading and one-sided perspective [1] - It criticizes the U.S. for applying double standards in trade rules, allowing itself to profit while restricting benefits for other members, particularly developing countries [1]

Core Insights - The trade deficit in the United States expanded to a record high of $140.5 billion in March [1] - The services trade surplus fell to its lowest level since April 2023 [1] Group 1 - The U.S. trade deficit reached a new record high of $140.5 billion in March, indicating a significant increase in imports compared to exports [1] - The decline in the services trade surplus suggests a potential weakening in the services sector, which could impact overall economic performance [1]

Core Insights - The surplus in U.S. services trade has dropped to its lowest level since April 2023 [1] Group 1 - The decline in services trade surplus indicates potential shifts in the U.S. economy and its global trade dynamics [1] - This reduction may impact various sectors reliant on service exports, such as technology and finance [1] - The current economic environment could lead to increased scrutiny of trade policies and their effects on service industries [1]