Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - Domestic financial data shows overall stability in volume, but the structure needs optimization [3]. - There is still significant uncertainty in trade frictions. However, news of technological breakthroughs in domestic technology sub - sectors drove the market to rebound, but under the background of reduced overall trading volume, the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices may continue the pattern of oscillating digestion in the short term [3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Analysis - **Financial Aggregate Data**: Domestically, at the end of September, M2 increased by 8.4% year - on - year, and M1 increased by 7.2% year - on - year. The M1 - M2 spread hit a new low for the year. In the first three quarters, RMB loans increased by 14.75 trillion yuan, and the cumulative increase in social financing scale was 30.09 trillion yuan, an increase of 4.42 trillion yuan year - on - year. Regarding Sino - US relations, the US stated that whether to impose a 100% tariff on China depends on China's actions, and China urged the US to correct its wrong practices. China also opposed the EU's attempt to force Chinese enterprises to transfer technology [1]. - **Index Rebound**: In the spot market, the three major A - share indices rebounded. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.22% to close at 3912.21 points, and the ChiNext Index rose 2.36%. Most sector indices rose, with the power equipment, automotive, electronics, and pharmaceutical and biological industries leading the gains, while only the steel and petroleum and petrochemical industries closed down. The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets dropped to 2 trillion yuan. Overseas, the three major US stock indices closed mixed, with the Nasdaq rising 0.66% to 22670.08 points [1]. - **Technological Breakthroughs**: At the 2025 Bay Area Semiconductor Industry Ecology Expo, China's self - developed 90GHz real - time oscilloscope was officially released, and two domestic electronic engineering EDA design software with independent intellectual property rights were launched for the first time [1]. - **Futures Market**: In the futures market, on the day of the delivery of the current - month contract this Friday, the basis of IC and IM rebounded. The trading volume and open interest of stock index futures declined simultaneously [2]. Strategy - Based on domestic financial data, the overall volume remains stable, but the structure needs optimization. Given the uncertainty of trade frictions and the reduced trading volume, the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices may continue to oscillate in the short term [3]. Charts - **Macro - economic Charts**: Include charts showing the relationship between the US dollar index and A - share trends, US Treasury yields and A - share trends, RMB exchange rates and A - share trends, and US Treasury yields and A - share style trends [6][9][11]. - **Spot Market Tracking Charts**: Table 1 shows the daily performance of major domestic stock indices on October 15, 2025. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.22%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.73%, the ChiNext Index rose 2.36%, etc. There are also charts of the trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets and margin trading balances [13][14]. - **Stock Index Futures Tracking Charts**: - Table 2 shows the trading volume and open interest of stock index futures. The trading volume and open interest of IF, IH, IC, and IM all decreased [15]. - Table 3 shows the basis of stock index futures. The basis of IC and IM increased on the day [39]. - Table 4 shows the inter - delivery spread of stock index futures, with various changes in spreads [43][45]. - There are also multiple charts showing the open interest, open interest ratio, and basis trends of different stock index futures contracts [6][16][19]