机器人协作
Search documents
四年内产业规模翻倍!大摩:中国是全球最大的机器人市场,无人机将占40%
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-06-17 08:03
Group 1 - China is leading a new wave of transformation in the global robotics industry, being the largest market and production base, accounting for 55% of global robot products [1][4] - The Chinese robotics market is projected to reach $47 billion by 2024, representing 40% of the global total, with an expected growth to $108 billion by 2028, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23% [1][4] - Key growth drivers include drones, mobile robots, and collaborative robots, with respective CAGRs of 20%, 35%, and 46% [1][4] Group 2 - The surge in automation demand in China is driven by fundamental changes in labor structure, with a significant increase in robot density from 97 units per 10,000 people in 2017 to 470 units in 2023, a 4.8-fold increase [4][7] - Companies using robots have seen labor productivity and total factor productivity increase by over 30% compared to those that do not use robots [4][7] Group 3 - China has established a complete supply chain from design to assembly, with domestic brands increasing their market share in industrial robots from 28% in 2019 to 51% in 2024 [7][10] - In emerging fields like mobile robots and drones, the localization rate of Chinese brands has reached over 90% [7] Group 4 - The traditional industrial robot segment is expected to grow at a moderate CAGR of 18% from 2025 to 2028, while emerging types like collaborative robots, mobile robots, and service robots are expected to grow at CAGRs of 46%, 35%, and 25% respectively [10][12] - The drone market in China is particularly strong, projected to reach $19 billion in 2024 and $40 billion by 2028, driven by both military and civilian demand [12] Group 5 - Investment opportunities in the robotics industry are concentrated in market growth and localization, with the components market expected to reach $40 billion by 2024 and a CAGR of 23% from 2025 to 2028 [14] - Key components like motors and batteries are projected to account for 13% and 17% of total material costs by 2028 [14] Group 6 - The integration of artificial intelligence is redefining the application boundaries of robotics, with advancements like "no-code" programming significantly reducing deployment barriers [18][20] - The average price of collaborative robots is expected to decrease from 157,000 RMB in 2016 to 58,000 RMB by 2028, driven by cost reductions in core components and increased competition [20]