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川马开战!比特币惊现"老鼠仓"!ETH假突破实锤?空单收割2329%!下一个爆发点:这个币成救市黑马!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-01 08:42
Market Overview - Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a slight pullback to $107,000, with a total of 83,845 liquidations globally amounting to $211 million [1] - The market has been extremely sluggish since Saturday, with trading activity dropping significantly, resembling a lack of motivation due to the hot weather [1] - Major players are taking advantage of low liquidity to create FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) among investors, indicating a potential accumulation phase for them [1] Key Developments - Federal Reserve's Bostic predicts one rate cut this year and three next year, suggesting no need for rate hikes to combat inflation; Goldman Sachs forecasts a rate cut in September [2] - MicroStrategy purchased 4,980 BTC at an average price of $106,801, totaling $531.9 million, and holds 597,325 BTC at an average price of $70,982, valued at $42.4 billion [2] - On-chain activity remains subdued, with some altcoins like $ARB showing strong performance before news releases, followed by sell-offs [2] Bitcoin Analysis - BTC tested the $109,000 liquidation zone twice without triggering significant liquidations, indicating a potential struggle for buyers in the futures market while sellers dominate the spot market [3] - Current price levels around $105,000 to $106,000 are critical for long positions, with a potential drop to $105,000 or even $103,000 if the $106,000 support is breached [3] Strategy Insights - Short-term trading strategies suggest a focus on buying in the $105,668 to $104,688 range and waiting for short positions in the $107,713 to $108,313 range, with stop losses set at $1,500 [5] - For Ethereum (ETH), recent price movements indicate uncertainty, as two recent breakouts did not surpass previous highs, and trading volume remains insufficient to confirm a strong upward trend [6] Altcoin Market - The launch of tokenized stock trading is expected to impact "MEME coins," with significant interest from financial players in the Web3 space [7] - The current market is awaiting a clear catalyst, such as interest rate cuts or institutional entry, to potentially ignite a bullish trend [7]