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广发证券(000776)9M25业绩点评:利润超预期 拟配售H股赋能发展、资管业务回暖
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-01 00:34
Core Viewpoint - Guangfa Securities reported better-than-expected results for Q3 2025, with significant growth in revenue and net profit driven by brokerage and investment business income, alongside steady growth in asset management [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first nine months of 2025, Guangfa Securities achieved operating revenue of 26.16 billion, a year-on-year increase of 41.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.93 billion, up 61.6% year-on-year [1]. - The weighted average ROE (unannualized) for the same period was 8.18%, an increase of 2.92 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The breakdown of revenue for 9M25 shows brokerage, investment banking, asset management, net interest, and net investment income at 6.98 billion, 0.52 billion, 5.66 billion, 1.69 billion, and 9.36 billion respectively, with year-on-year changes of +75.0%, -3.0%, +11.4%, +23.1%, and +56.9% [1]. - In Q3 2025, net profit reached 4.46 billion, reflecting an 85.9% year-on-year increase and a 20.3% quarter-on-quarter increase [1]. Group 2: Capital and International Business Development - The company plans to issue up to 340 million H shares to supplement capital and enhance international business development [2]. - As of Q3 2025, the company's operating leverage was 4.76x, which is 1.31x higher than the average of listed brokers, indicating a need for capital replenishment [2]. - The capital adequacy ratio was reported at 11.2%, with a liquidity coverage ratio of 141.9% [2]. Group 3: Investment and Asset Management - By the end of Q3 2025, the company's investment leverage was 3.18x, with financial investment scale reaching 487.8 billion, a 30.6% increase year-to-date [3]. - The net investment income for Q3 2025 was 4.12 billion, showing a year-on-year increase of 79.4% [3]. - The asset management business revenue for Q3 2025 was 1.99 billion, up 17.3% year-on-year [4]. - The non-monetary AUM of Guangfa Fund reached 991.3 billion, a 17.8% increase year-to-date, ranking third in the industry [4]. Group 4: Brokerage and Market Performance - The brokerage business generated revenue of 3.06 billion in Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 149.3% [4]. - The company's margin financing and securities lending market share was reported at 5.7%, a slight decrease of 0.14 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Group 5: Future Profit Projections - Expected net profits for Guangfa Securities for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at 14.21 billion, 15.83 billion, and 16.78 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +47.5%, +11.4%, and +6.0% [5].