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天佑德酒(002646):高原佳酿,静待反转
Western Securities· 2025-11-17 05:19
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [6][3]. Core Views - The company, Tianyoude Liquor, reported a revenue of 880 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 10.79%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 22 million yuan, down 62.03% year-on-year [1][6]. - The company faced continuous revenue decline over four consecutive quarters until the second quarter of 2025, where it saw a slight recovery with a revenue of 242 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.92%. However, the third quarter reverted to negative growth, indicating significant sales pressure [2][3]. - Despite the challenging industry environment, the company maintained positive operating cash flow, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 53 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a 50.02% increase year-on-year [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 880 million yuan, a decrease of 10.79% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 22 million yuan, down 62.03% year-on-year, and the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 18 million yuan, a decline of 66.29% year-on-year [1][6]. - The third quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 207 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.28%, with a net loss attributable to shareholders of 30 million yuan, down 33.73% year-on-year [1][6]. Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 1.143 billion yuan, 1.160 billion yuan, and 1.189 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year changes of -8.88%, +1.43%, and +2.52%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 34 million yuan, 34 million yuan, and 42 million yuan for the same years, with year-on-year changes of -18.76%, -0.02%, and +21.61% [3][4]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on product innovation to attract younger consumers, with the launch of flavored barley liquor products aimed at this demographic [2][3]. - The company is also working on enhancing its offline channel construction to explore potential revenue growth points [2].