标准化预期外收入

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多因子选股周报:成长因子表现出色,四大指增组合年内超额均超10%-20250823
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-23 07:21
多因子选股周报 成长因子表现出色,四大指增组合年内超额均超 10% 证券研究报告 | 2025年08月23日 核心观点 金融工程周报 国信金工指数增强组合表现跟踪 因子表现监控 以沪深 300 指数为选股空间。最近一周,标准化预期外收入、一年动量、单 季营收同比增速等因子表现较好,而 EPTTM、单季 EP、一个月换手等因子 表现较差。 以中证 500 指数为选股空间。最近一周,EPTTM 一年分位点、高管薪酬、 DELTAROA 等因子表现较好,而预期 EPTTM、EPTTM、单季 EP 等因子 表现较差。 以中证 1000 指数为选股空间。最近一周,标准化预期外收入、三个月反转、 单季营收同比增速等因子表现较好,而一个月反转、预期 EPTTM、股息率 等因子表现较差。 以中证 A500 指数为选股空间。最近一周,单季营收同比增速、三个月反转、 一年动量等因子表现较好,而单季 EP、EPTTM、预期 EPTTM 等因子表现 较差。 以公募重仓指数为选股空间。最近一周,一年动量、单季营利同比增速、单 季营收同比增速等因子表现较好,而单季 EP、预期 EPTTM、EPTTM 等因 子表现较差。 公募基金指数增强 ...
多因子选股周报:成长动量因子表现出色,沪深300指增组合本周超额0.93%-20250816
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-16 13:05
- The report tracks the performance of Guosen JinGong's index enhancement portfolios and public fund index enhancement products, as well as monitors the performance of common stock selection factors across different sample spaces[11][12][15] - Guosen JinGong's index enhancement portfolios are constructed based on three main components: return prediction, risk control, and portfolio optimization. These portfolios are benchmarked against indices such as CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and CSI A500[12][14] - The report introduces the concept of Maximized Factor Exposure (MFE) portfolios to test the effectiveness of single factors under real-world constraints. The optimization model maximizes single-factor exposure while controlling for style, industry, stock weight deviations, and other constraints[41][42][43] - The optimization model for MFE portfolios is expressed as: $\begin{array}{ll}max&f^{T}\ w\\ s.t.&s_{l}\leq X(w-w_{b})\leq s_{h}\\ &h_{l}\leq H(w-w_{b})\leq h_{h}\\ &w_{l}\leq w-w_{b}\leq w_{h}\\ &b_{l}\leq B_{b}w\leq b_{h}\\ &\mathbf{0}\leq w\leq l\\ &\mathbf{1}^{T}\ w=1\end{array}$ where `f` represents factor values, `w` is the stock weight vector, and constraints include style exposure, industry exposure, stock weight deviations, and component stock weight limits[41][42] - The report tracks the performance of single-factor MFE portfolios across different sample spaces, including CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, CSI A500, and public fund heavy positions index. Factors are evaluated based on their excess returns relative to benchmarks[15][18][26] - Common stock selection factors are categorized into valuation, reversal, growth, profitability, liquidity, company governance, and analyst dimensions. Examples include BP (Book-to-Price), ROA (Return on Assets), and one-year momentum[16][17] - In the CSI 300 sample space, factors such as single-season ROA, standardized unexpected income, and standardized unexpected earnings performed well recently, while factors like one-month volatility and three-month volatility performed poorly[19] - In the CSI 500 sample space, factors such as one-year momentum and standardized unexpected earnings showed strong performance recently, while factors like one-month turnover and three-month volatility underperformed[21] - In the CSI 1000 sample space, factors such as one-year momentum and standardized unexpected earnings performed well recently, while factors like BP and single-season SP (Sales-to-Price) performed poorly[23] - In the CSI A500 sample space, factors such as DELTAROA (Change in ROA) and standardized unexpected income performed well recently, while factors like three-month volatility and one-month turnover performed poorly[25] - In the public fund heavy positions index sample space, factors such as one-year momentum and DELTAROA performed well recently, while factors like one-month turnover and three-month turnover underperformed[27] - Public fund index enhancement products are tracked for their excess returns relative to benchmarks. For CSI 300 products, recent weekly excess returns ranged from -1.41% to 1.91%, with a median of -0.09%[32] - For CSI 500 products, recent weekly excess returns ranged from -2.05% to 0.52%, with a median of -0.51%[34] - For CSI 1000 products, recent weekly excess returns ranged from -1.70% to 0.94%, with a median of -0.53%[37] - For CSI A500 products, recent weekly excess returns ranged from -1.10% to 0.71%, with a median of -0.25%[40]