核心 + 卫星架构

Search documents
2025 年多元资产配置新思路:股票、债券与黄金的平衡之道
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 02:44
Group 1: Market Overview - Investors are facing challenges from fluctuating inflation expectations, shifts in interest rate policies, and geopolitical changes as they approach the crossroads of the global market in 2025 [1] - Structural stocks represented by certain Hong Kong stocks are becoming important for balancing risk and return in investment portfolios [1] Group 2: Performance of Assets - Digital economy stocks have recorded a 45% increase this year, while traditional cyclical stocks show significant divergence in performance [1] - The recommendation is to establish a foundational position using cross-industry ETFs, complemented by individual stocks from specific sectors to enhance returns [1] Group 3: Bond Market Insights - With the Federal Reserve's policy rate reaching 5.25%, short-duration bonds are providing a yield protection of 3.8% [2] - Convertible bonds are highlighted for their unique value in a volatile market due to their hybrid characteristics of equity and debt [2] Group 4: Gold and Alternative Investments - Gold is regaining its status as a traditional safe-haven asset amid increased volatility in digital currencies, with physical gold and gold ETFs recommended for risk management and liquidity [2] - Current gold prices are showing strong support around $1950 per ounce, which is linked to mining stocks [2] Group 5: Portfolio Construction Strategy - A "core + satellite" strategy is suggested, with broad-based index products as core assets making up at least 50% of the portfolio [3] - Industry rotation products are recommended to capture excess returns, while alternative assets are advised to mitigate volatility [3] - The combination of various asset types has shown a 38% reduction in annualized volatility compared to a pure equity portfolio over the past three years [3] Group 6: Dynamic Rebalancing - Investors are encouraged to maintain dynamic rebalancing and assess risk exposure of holdings quarterly, especially in interest rate-sensitive assets [3] - Focus on duration-matched products to address potential policy shift risks is emphasized [3]