现如今，马云在社会上的影响力是越来越大。这不仅因为马云是国内知名的企业家、商界领袖。而是他之前曾对房产、金融、商业等领域的趋势发表过看 法。事后已经证明，马云的讲话确实具有较强的前瞻性。为此，现在只要马云在公开场合发表的讲话，都会引起社会各界的高度重视，很多人把马云的预言 作为投资方向和决策参考。 就在近期，网上有人说，马云预言成真了？从2026年开始，楼市可能迎来"4大变化"？那么，马云到底有没有发表过这样的预言？我们不得而知，但先抛开 马云的预言不谈，单从当前楼市的发展趋势出发，来聊一聊从2026年开始，楼市可能迎来"4大变化"？这样大家就可以提前采取应对措施。 变化一：从经济引擎，转向"民生保障" 变化二：从房子短缺，转向"供大于求" 在过去20多年里，房企一直采取的是"粗放式发展"，就是只重视建房速度，以及利润最大化。而对房子的质量、房型、周边配套等并不是很在意。而现如 今，政府开始引导房企建造高品质的"好房子"，以及在进入到"买方市场"后，购房者对新房子的房型、质量等要求越来越高。这就导致了从2026年开始，房 企将由原来的"粗放式发展"，转向要为老百姓建"好房子"。届时，高品质的"好房子"会受到越 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese real estate market has entered a significant downturn, with prices dropping substantially since 2022, aligning with predictions made by industry leaders like Jack Ma in 2017 [1][3]. Group 1: Market Trends - Since 2022, housing prices in second and third-tier cities such as Tianjin, Zhengzhou, and Shijiazhuang have started to decline, with first-tier cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen joining this trend in 2023 [3]. - The national average housing price has decreased by 30% from its historical peak, while some cities around Beijing have seen price drops exceeding 50% [3]. - Cities like Hegang, Tieling, and Fuxin are now offering homes at prices as low as tens of thousands, reflecting a "cabbage" price trend [3]. Group 2: Future Changes in the Market - A significant differentiation in housing prices is expected, with first-tier cities likely to experience a "correction" in prices, including previously stable core areas [5]. - The number of first-time homebuyers is decreasing due to demographic shifts, including urbanization reaching its limits and an aging population [7]. - A major reshuffling of developers is anticipated, as many are facing a debt repayment peak, with top developers needing to repay debts totaling 3 trillion yuan this year [8]. Group 3: Policy Implications - The government plans to introduce 6 million affordable housing units over the next five years, which will lower housing costs for low-income groups and increase downward pressure on market prices [10]. - The influx of affordable housing is expected to divert demand from the commercial housing market, further contributing to price declines [10].