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美政府进入“后停摆”时期 经济民生“坏账”难修补
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2025-11-14 02:40
Economic Impact - The U.S. government shutdown lasted for 43 days, leading to significant economic losses and a projected decline in GDP growth for Q4 [1][2] - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) noted signs of economic weakness, with Q4 GDP growth expected to be below the previously forecasted 1.9% [2] - The White House's National Economic Council Director, Kevin Hassett, predicted a 1.5 percentage point decrease in GDP growth for Q4, indicating a potential loss greater than halving the GDP growth rate [2] Job Market Effects - The shutdown is estimated to have resulted in the loss of approximately 60,000 private sector jobs due to reduced output [6] - The full impact on the labor market will be clearer in the coming weeks with the release of employment reports and unemployment claims data [6] Aviation Sector - The shutdown had a pronounced effect on the aviation system, with over 1,000 flights canceled on the day the government reopened, and nearly 400 flights canceled for the following day [7] - More than 5 million travelers were affected by flight delays or cancellations during the shutdown, with long-term implications for the aviation sector's development [7] - Air traffic controller shortages were exacerbated, with a significant increase in retirements during the shutdown, complicating future staffing and training efforts [7] Social Welfare Impact - The shutdown led to the suspension of the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), affecting around 42 million low-income individuals [8] - Many federal employees faced delayed wages, with some relying on food assistance programs during the shutdown [9] Political Landscape - The temporary budget agreement reached only extends government operations until January 30, indicating a potential for another shutdown in the near future [10] - Core disputes remain unresolved, particularly regarding healthcare subsidies, which could continue to fuel political tensions between the parties [10][12] - The shutdown's end is viewed as a pause in political conflict rather than a resolution, with ongoing concerns about future governance stability [12]