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水产品供需平衡
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《中国农业展望报告》发布 未来十年我国水产品供需基本平衡
Core Insights - The report predicts a steady increase in China's aquatic product production over the next decade, with total output expected to reach 78.74 million tons by 2034, reflecting a 10.7% growth from the baseline and an average annual growth rate of 1.0% [2] - The consumption of aquatic products is projected to grow significantly, with total consumption expected to reach 83.06 million tons by 2034, marking a 12.3% increase from the baseline and an average annual growth rate of 1.2% [4] - China's aquatic product imports are anticipated to rise steadily, reaching 8.07 million tons by 2034, which represents a notable 20.1% increase from the baseline [6] Production Trends - Aquaculture production is expected to increase to 65.61 million tons by 2034, a 12.9% growth from the baseline, with an average annual growth rate of 1.2%, accounting for 83.3% of total production [2] - Capture production is projected to stabilize at around 13 million tons by 2034, supported by sustainable fishing policies and practices [3] Consumption Dynamics - The report highlights a shift towards diversified, branded, and convenient consumption of aquatic products, with processed consumption expected to grow to 36.19 million tons by 2034, reflecting an 18.8% increase from the baseline [4] - Direct consumption of aquatic products is also expected to grow, reaching 35.34 million tons by 2034, which is a 12.3% increase from the baseline [5] Import and Export Outlook - The report indicates that imports will continue to rise, driven by increasing consumer demand for high-quality and specialty aquatic products [6] - Exports are expected to stabilize at around 3.75 million tons by 2034, showing a decrease of 4.7% from the baseline, as competition in the international market intensifies [7]