水果罐头集中度提升

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欢乐家(300997):供应链稳步进阶,产品渠道多元并进
Soochow Securities· 2025-06-16 03:27
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Viewpoints - The company, originally focused on canned fruits, has successfully expanded into the coconut juice market, which now accounts for over 50% of its revenue. Despite facing short-term pressure from raw material cost fluctuations in 2024, there are positive signals from Q4 improvements and new product iterations [8][14]. - The company benefits from the increasing concentration in the canned fruit industry and the expansion of the coconut beverage market, with a strategic focus on customized product development and enhanced channel management under new leadership [8][14]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company was founded in 2001 and has established a strong market presence in canned fruits and coconut juice, achieving significant sales in both categories [15][16]. - The company has undergone three developmental phases: initial focus on canned products, expansion into coconut juice, and diversification into a broader product range and channel strategies [16][17]. Industry Analysis - The canned fruit market has seen fluctuations, with a decline from 115.7 billion yuan in 2017 to 81.8 billion yuan in 2021, but a recovery to 94.97 billion yuan in 2022 due to increased demand during the pandemic [8][66]. - The coconut beverage market is projected to grow significantly, with coconut water expected to reach nearly 9 billion yuan in 2024, growing at over 20% annually [8][14]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on product innovation, including healthier options and expanding its distribution channels, particularly in snack retail [8][14]. - A robust supply chain strategy is in place, integrating domestic production with Southeast Asian sourcing to mitigate raw material price volatility [8][14]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to be 18.6 billion yuan in 2025, with a slight increase of 0.4% year-on-year, and net profit expected to reach 1.5 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 2.7% [1][8].