中泰证券（600918）发布研报称，前三季度水泥板块全年实现营业收入1811亿元，同比下滑8.5%，实 现归母净利95亿元，同比增长159.1%，得益于去年同期的低基数以及今年行业价格相对坚挺且煤炭价 格较低。展望后市，反内卷预期下，26年行业盈利能力有望持续提升。 华泰证券则表示，实现水泥去产能的核心是控制熟料生产线产能与产量的有效压降。展望2026年，一方 面，政策约束下熟料生产线的超产产能指标补齐有望提速，推动水泥去产能于2026年进入实操阶段；另 一方面，25Q3行业盈利的再度回落有望加快部分区域水泥产能的整合，除冀东在东北市场的主动整合 外，我们预计华南区域有望加快市场整合进程。 水泥股涨幅居前，截至发稿，山水水泥(00691)涨4.23%，报0.74港元；中国建材(03323)涨3.55%，报5.54 港元；海螺水泥（600585）(00914)涨2.9%，报23.4港元；华润建材科技(01313)涨2.44%，报1.68港元。 ...

Group 1 - The cement sector has seen significant stock price increases, with companies like Shanshui Cement rising by 4.23%, China National Building Material by 3.55%, and Anhui Conch Cement by 2.9% [1] - According to Zhongtai Securities, the cement sector achieved a total revenue of 181.1 billion yuan in the first three quarters, a year-on-year decline of 8.5%, while net profit attributable to shareholders reached 9.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 159.1% [1] - The increase in net profit is attributed to a low base from the previous year and relatively strong industry prices alongside lower coal prices [1] Group 2 - Huatai Securities emphasizes that effective control of clinker production line capacity and output is crucial for achieving cement capacity reduction [1] - Looking ahead to 2026, policy constraints are expected to accelerate the rectification of excess clinker production capacity, facilitating the practical implementation of cement capacity reduction [1] - The anticipated decline in industry profitability in Q3 2025 may accelerate the consolidation of cement capacity in certain regions, particularly in South China [1]