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国信证券:美联储降息能减轻我国货币政策的外部约束
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-07 23:28
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts may provide significant macroeconomic impacts on China, particularly in terms of monetary policy space and trade dynamics [1] Group 2 - Monetary Policy Space: The Federal Reserve's rate cuts can alleviate external constraints on China's monetary policy, allowing the central bank to implement measures such as lowering deposit reserve ratios and interest rates, thereby enhancing the counter-cyclical adjustment capabilities of monetary policy [1] - Exchange Rate and Trade: A typical outcome of the Federal Reserve's rate cut cycle is a weaker US dollar, which may lead to an appreciation of the Chinese yuan against the dollar, enhancing the purchasing power of the yuan and benefiting China's import trade. Although the relative purchasing power of the dollar may decline, the rate cuts could stimulate US economic growth, increasing demand for Chinese goods [1]