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模塑科技(000700):公司事件点评报告:盈利能力逐步修复,密集获得大客户项目定点
Huaxin Securities· 2025-08-26 06:41
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's profitability is gradually recovering, with significant acquisition of major client projects [1] - The company has received project designations from leading luxury car manufacturers and well-known North American companies, with expected total sales of 20.4 billion and 12.4 billion respectively [3][4] - The automotive industry is experiencing a shift towards lightweight and customized exterior parts, with a growing demand for plastic bumpers to replace steel, enhancing the average selling price (ASP) per vehicle [6] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company is expected to achieve revenue of 71.4 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 18.2%, while net profit is projected to be 6.3 billion, an increase of 39.5% [4] - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 16.0 billion, a decrease of 11.7% year-on-year, but net profit increased by 2.7% to 1.5 billion, with a significant rise in non-recurring net profit by 45.1% [5] - The company forecasts revenues of 81.0 billion, 91.6 billion, and 103.1 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 7.1 billion, 8.1 billion, and 9.2 billion [8][10] Market Position and Client Base - The company ranks first in the domestic luxury car exterior parts market and has secured orders from major brands including Tesla, BMW, and various domestic electric vehicle manufacturers [6][7] - Recent project designations include significant sales volumes and revenues from luxury car clients, indicating a robust order book [7] Industry Trends - The global automotive bumper market is projected to grow from 156.8 billion in 2022 to 200.6 billion by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.4% [6] - The trend towards customization and enhanced consumer attributes in automotive exterior parts is expected to further increase the value per vehicle [6]