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崔东树:2025年1-9月进口汽车36万辆 同比下降32%
智通财经网· 2025-10-28 09:33
Core Insights - The import of automobiles in China is experiencing a significant decline, with a projected 360,000 units imported from January to September 2025, representing a 32% year-on-year decrease. This trend is attributed to the rise of domestic new energy vehicles and a shift towards high-end models, leading to sustained pressure on imported vehicles [1][6][20]. Group 1: Overall Trends in Automobile Imports - The peak of automobile imports occurred in 2014 with 1.43 million units, followed by a continuous decline. The import volume is expected to drop to 700,000 units in 2024, down 12% year-on-year, and further to 360,000 units in the first nine months of 2025, down 32% year-on-year [6][20]. - In September 2025, 41,000 imported vehicles were recorded, marking a 26% decline year-on-year and a 10% decrease from August [1][6]. Group 2: Country-Specific Import Data - The top ten countries for automobile imports in September 2025 included Japan (18,265 units), Germany (10,549 units), and Slovakia (3,832 units). Notably, imports from the U.S. have plummeted, with only 41,736 units imported from January to September 2025, a staggering 52% decrease year-on-year [1][2][20]. - The U.S. vehicle imports saw a dramatic drop in September 2025, with only 1,462 units imported, reflecting an 85% year-on-year decline [2][20]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Consumer Preferences - The demand for traditional fuel vehicles continues to shrink, with domestic manufacturers benefiting from a low base effect in sales. The market is shifting towards electric vehicles, which has led to a notable decrease in the demand for imported fuel vehicles [2][6][15]. - The luxury car segment showed some improvement in September 2025, with brands like Rolls-Royce and Ferrari performing well, particularly in the Shanghai region [3]. Group 4: Import Structure and Vehicle Types - In the first nine months of 2025, passenger cars accounted for 98% of total imports, with a significant focus on gasoline vehicles, which dominate the market despite the rise of new energy vehicles [12][13]. - The import of electric vehicles has seen a drastic decline, with pure electric vehicle imports dropping by 81% year-on-year in the first nine months of 2025 [14][15]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The ongoing decline in imported vehicles is expected to continue, with challenges in maintaining a reasonable scale of imports and ensuring the security of international supply chains amid complex international relations [2][20].
崔东树:1-8月进口汽车32万辆 同比下降33%
智通财经网· 2025-09-26 10:27
Core Insights - The import of automobiles in China has seen a significant decline, with 2025 showing a 33% year-on-year decrease in the first eight months, totaling 320,000 vehicles imported [1][5][6] - The trend of declining imports has been ongoing since 2014, with a peak of 1.43 million vehicles, followed by a steady decrease, particularly in the last three years [5][6][20] - The demand for fuel vehicles is shrinking, particularly from the U.S., where imports have dropped from 280,000 units in 2017 to 105,000 units in 2024, marking a 48% decline in the first eight months of 2025 compared to the previous year [2][5][20] Import Trends - In August 2025, imports fell to 46,000 vehicles, a 40% decrease year-on-year and an 8% decrease from July [1][5] - The top ten countries for imports in August 2025 included Japan (22,785 units), Germany (8,926 units), and the U.S. (2,902 units), with notable increases from the UK and India [1][2][20] - The overall import volume for 2023 was 800,000 vehicles, down 10% from the previous year, and is projected to decline further to 700,000 vehicles in 2024 [5][6] Market Dynamics - The structure of imported vehicles is heavily skewed towards passenger cars, which accounted for 98% of total imports in 2025 [12][13] - The share of electric vehicles in the import market remains low, with pure electric vehicles making up only 1% of total imports in 2025 [14][15] - The market for high-displacement vehicles (over 2.5L) is experiencing slower declines compared to smaller displacement vehicles, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [19][20] Country-Specific Insights - Japan remains the largest source of imported vehicles, followed by Germany and Slovakia, with significant fluctuations in imports from the U.S. due to tariffs and trade relations [20][21] - The import of vehicles from the U.S. has seen a drastic reduction, with a 65% year-on-year decline in August 2025 [2][20] - Emerging markets like India and Mexico are showing growth in vehicle exports to China, contrasting with the overall decline from traditional markets [2][20]
崔东树:1-7月进口汽车27万辆同比下降32%
智通财经网· 2025-08-25 12:00
Core Insights - The import of automobiles in China has seen a significant decline, with 270,000 units imported from January to July 2025, representing a 32% year-on-year decrease. This trend continues a pattern of decline that has persisted since 2018 [1][5][6]. Group 1: Overall Trends in Automobile Imports - The peak of automobile imports occurred in 2014 with 1.43 million units, followed by a steady decline. In 2023, imports fell to 800,000 units, a 10% decrease year-on-year, and are projected to drop further to 700,000 units in 2024, marking a 12% decline [5][6]. - The import of vehicles from the United States has drastically decreased, from 280,000 units in 2017 to an estimated 109,000 units in 2024, with a 46% year-on-year drop in the first seven months of 2025 [2][5]. Group 2: Monthly and Yearly Import Data - In July 2025, 50,000 imported vehicles were recorded, showing a 29% year-on-year decline but a 16% increase compared to June 2025 [1][5]. - The top ten countries exporting vehicles to China in July 2025 included Japan (19,238 units), Germany (9,932 units), and the United States (8,914 units) [1][2]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Consumer Preferences - The shift towards electric vehicles in China has led to a decline in demand for traditional fuel vehicles, impacting the import of gasoline vehicles significantly [2][5]. - The luxury car market showed some improvement in July 2025, with brands like Rolls-Royce and Ferrari performing well, indicating a potential niche market amidst the overall decline [2][5]. Group 4: Import Structure and Vehicle Types - In the first seven months of 2025, passenger cars accounted for 98% of total imports, with a notable decline in the import of light trucks and commercial vehicles [12][13]. - The import of electric vehicles has seen a sharp decline, with pure electric vehicle imports dropping by 81% year-on-year in the first seven months of 2025 [14][15]. Group 5: Country-Specific Import Characteristics - Japan, Germany, and the United States remain the primary sources of imported vehicles, with Slovakia showing significant growth in imports recently [20][21]. - The overall import volume from these countries has decreased, with the U.S. experiencing a notable impact from tariffs, leading to a 46% decline in imports in the first seven months of 2025 compared to the previous year [20][21].