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中远海能现跌超5% 油运市场多空交织 OPEC+暂停明年一季度增产
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-04 07:26
Core Viewpoint - The oil transportation market is experiencing mixed signals, with concerns over supply surplus increasing, while OPEC+ has agreed to slightly raise oil production in December and pause increases for Q1 of next year [1] Group 1: Company Performance - COSCO Shipping Energy (中远海能) shares have dropped over 5%, currently trading at 10.45 HKD with a transaction volume of 453 million HKD [1] - Analysts indicate that the VLCC TCE has surged to over 120,000 USD, benefiting from the recent sanctions against Russian oil [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - The oil transportation sector is expected to see significant year-on-year profit growth in Q3 2025, aligning with the upward trend in freight rates [1] - Domestic oil tanker companies are outperforming the industry freight rate index, with projections indicating that profits for oil tankers in Q4 2025 and for the entire year will reach a ten-year high [1] - The outlook for oil transportation in 2026 remains positive, with expectations of continued improvement in supply and demand, potentially leading to a super bull market in the sector [1]
港股异动 | 中远海能(01138)现跌超5% 油运市场多空交织 OPEC+暂停明年一季度增产
智通财经网· 2025-11-04 07:24
Core Viewpoint - The oil transportation market is experiencing mixed signals, with concerns over supply surplus leading to OPEC+ agreeing to a slight increase in oil production for December while pausing production increases for Q1 of next year [1] Group 1: Company Performance - China Ocean Shipping Company (中远海能) shares have dropped over 5%, currently trading at HKD 10.45 with a transaction volume of HKD 453 million [1] - Analysts indicate that the recent pause in 301 measures will effectively mitigate the risk of continued reduction in effective capacity for crude oil transportation [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - The VLCC TCE has surged to over USD 120,000 due to increased sanctions against Russian oil, indicating a positive trend for oil transportation profitability [1] - It is projected that international crude oil transportation profits will see a significant year-on-year increase in Q3 2025, aligning with freight rate trends, and domestic tanker companies are outperforming the industry freight index [1] - Expectations for Q4 2025 and the entire year indicate that tanker profits will reach a ten-year high, with a favorable supply-demand outlook for oil transportation in 2026, suggesting a potential super bull market [1]