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中邮证券:中国泛娱乐行业快速扩张 集换式卡牌仍处于发展初期
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-27 08:03
Core Insights - The Chinese pan-entertainment industry is rapidly expanding, with collectible card games (CCGs) experiencing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 50% in the past five years, establishing themselves as a significant category within the market [1][2] - Card games dominate the collectible card market in China, facing competition from brands like Jiekas, Shanhun, and Hitcard, while the competitive card game segment remains in its early stages [2][3] - The potential for growth in per capita spending on collectible cards in China is substantial compared to more mature markets like Japan and the United States [2] Industry Overview - The collectible card game sector is characterized by high growth and significant potential within the broader pan-entertainment category [2] - The market is still in its early development phase, with a focus on collectible trading card games (TCGs) primarily driven by foreign brands like Pokémon and Yu-Gi-Oh [2] - As the industry matures, there will be closer ties between card games and intellectual property (IP) producers, with TCGs likely to expand through mobile gaming [2] Company Profile: KAYOU - KAYOU, established in 2011, began its card business in 2018 and has a concentrated ownership structure, with founders holding 83.5% of shares prior to listing [3] - The company is projected to grow its revenue from 4.131 billion yuan to 10.057 billion yuan from 2022 to 2024, representing a CAGR of 56.03%, while adjusted net profit is expected to rise from 1.620 billion yuan to 4.466 billion yuan, with a CAGR of 66.05% [3] Competitive Advantages - KAYOU benefits from multiple strengths, including a diverse portfolio of popular IPs such as Ultraman and My Little Pony, and a strong offline distribution network [4] - The company focuses on innovative gameplay design and community engagement to enhance product flow and player activity [4] - KAYOU is expanding its production capacity to respond flexibly to market changes [4] Growth Drivers - The pan-entertainment industry is thriving, and collectible card games are still in the early stages of development, presenting significant growth opportunities [5] - KAYOU aims to maintain its advantage by collaborating closely with content producers to secure diverse IP licenses and expand product categories [5] - The company is also targeting the competitive TCG segment to meet consumer entertainment and social needs, fostering an active player community [5] - KAYOU plans to leverage its domestic experience and international brand recognition to gradually expand its brand presence overseas [5] Investment Recommendation - Attention is recommended for KAYOU, as the company continues to expand its IP matrix and diversify its product offerings, with scale effects and self-built production lines expected to enhance profitability [6]