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东方证券:维持固生堂“买入”评级 目标价45.54港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-24 08:39
Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongfang Securities indicates an upward revision of the gross profit margin forecast for Guoshengtang (02273) and adjustments to the earnings per share for 2025-2027, reflecting a positive outlook for the company's financial performance [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.49 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.5%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 150 million yuan, up 41.9%. Operating cash flow reached 300 million yuan, a 111% increase, and free cash flow was 210 million yuan, up 466% [1] Business Segmentation - Revenue from healthcare solutions in the first half of 2025 was 1.48 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, while revenue from health products was 10 million yuan. Offline institutional revenue was 1.37 billion yuan, up 11.1%, with same-store sales accounting for 97.3% of total revenue, indicating growth driven by existing store operations [2] Strategic Expansion - The company added 7 new stores in the first half of 2025 (4 self-built and 3 through acquisition) and entered 2 new cities, demonstrating a strategy focused on stable growth from existing stores while expanding cautiously [2] Product Development - Revenue from in-hospital formulations and other self-priced products surged by 209% year-on-year in the first half of 2025. The company launched 2 new in-hospital formulations, bringing the total to 14, with one product successfully certified and launched in Singapore [3] International Growth - Revenue from Singapore reached 2.143 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 121%, indicating rapid growth in overseas business. The dual model of "service + product" is beginning to take shape, potentially opening a second growth curve for the company [3] Ecosystem Development - The company has established deep collaborations with major platforms such as Xiaohongshu, Meituan, Douyin, and Gaode Map, with new users from these platforms accounting for 7.6% of the total new users, while customer acquisition costs remain below the industry average [4] AI Integration - As of late August, the AI prescription payment rate reached 76.7%, with expert prescription acceptance exceeding 80%. The company possesses over 20 million consultation records, 18 million cases, and 100,000 high-quality expert data, indicating a strong data foundation for future AI applications [4]