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盛新锂能(002240):2025中报点评:锂价下跌业绩承压,海外布局初显成效
Huafu Securities· 2025-09-10 11:17
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][7]. Core Views - The report highlights that the company's performance has been pressured by declining lithium prices, with a notable decrease in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025. However, the overseas expansion efforts are beginning to show results [3][4][5]. Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.614 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 37.42%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -840 million yuan, compared to -187 million yuan in the same period of 2024 [4]. - The average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate fell by 32.13% year-on-year, impacting the company's revenue from lithium business, which decreased by 37% to 1.614 billion yuan in 2025H1 [5]. - The company reported a gross profit margin of -3.72% in the first half of 2025, down 6.87 percentage points year-on-year [5]. Resource and Production Capacity - The company has significant lithium production capacity, with the Yilonggou spodumene mine capable of producing approximately 75,000 tons of lithium concentrate annually, and the Sabi Star lithium-tantalum mine with a capacity of 290,000 tons per year [5]. - The Muroong lithium mine has confirmed Li2O resources of 989,600 tons, making it one of the highest-grade lithium mines in Sichuan [6]. Overseas Expansion - The company has made progress in its overseas lithium salt plant in Indonesia, which has a production capacity of 60,000 tons per year and has begun trial production [6]. - The completion of core customer certifications for the Indonesian lithium salt project is expected to enhance the company's competitive advantage and service capabilities in the global market [6]. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The forecast for net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 is -690 million yuan, 260 million yuan, and 420 million yuan, respectively, reflecting adjustments in lithium prices and production volumes [7]. - The report maintains a "Buy" rating, considering the upcoming increase in overseas smelting capacity and the potential for the low-cost Muroong mine to ramp up production in the long term [7].