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广发证券晨会精选-20260126
GF SECURITIES· 2026-01-25 23:30
Key Insights - The report highlights the continued rise in cobalt prices, driven by lower-than-expected export progress from the Democratic Republic of Congo, with Q1 2026 cobalt prices closely linked to export rates [3] - Lithium prices are expected to rise due to new supply-side policies, with short-term fluctuations anticipated after the end of current disruptions [3] - The molybdenum market is stable, with steady bidding from major steel mills and slight inventory reductions in downstream stainless steel [3] - The construction materials sector shows significant earnings and valuation elasticity, particularly in consumer building materials, with many companies expected to improve profitability in 2026 due to raw material benefits and structural adjustments [3] - The media sector is experiencing rapid advancements in domestic AI models, with recommendations to focus on specific companies around the Chinese New Year [3] - In retail, the industry is shifting from "adjusting inputs" to "delivering results," with improvements in same-store sales and customer traffic expected to enhance profit margins [3] - The jewelry market is seeing high gold prices, which may impact consumer sentiment, but the traditional peak sales season in Q1 is expected to drive strong terminal sales [3] - The tourism sector is focusing on winter sports themes, with a longer Chinese New Year holiday in 2026, creating opportunities for mid- to long-term travel destinations [3]