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中国巨石(600176):价格复苏释放盈利空间,规模优势凸显
Huachuang Securities· 2025-05-09 12:13
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, with a target price of 16 yuan [2][10]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 4.479 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 32.42%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 730 million yuan, up 108.52% year-on-year [2][9]. - The recovery in prices has released profit potential, and the company's scale advantages are becoming more pronounced [2][9]. - The demand in the fiberglass industry is expected to increase, driven by growth in downstream applications such as consumer electronics and AI, which will boost the demand for high-end electronic fabrics [9][10]. - The company has improved its gross margin to 30.5% in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.4 percentage points, due to improved volume and price dynamics [9][10]. - The company’s operating cash flow has improved year-on-year, with a decrease in expense ratios, indicating better cost management [9][10]. Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to have total revenue of 17.415 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 9.8% [5][10]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 3.205 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 31.1% [5][10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.80 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15 times [5][10]. - The company’s total assets are projected to reach 63.085 billion yuan by 2026, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 50.5% [10].