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长城汽车(601633):坦克扩圈,前景广阔
Ping An Securities· 2025-08-17 09:36
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for Great Wall Motors [1] Core Views - The launch of the new Tank 500 Smart Edition has seen strong pre-sale demand, with over 11,000 orders within 24 hours [4] - The Tank brand has established a strong foothold in the off-road vehicle segment, achieving a three-year resale value of 64.57% for the Tank 300, the highest among compact SUVs in China [7] - The introduction of the Hi4-Z architecture caters to urban driving needs while still offering off-road capabilities, expanding the customer base for the Tank brand [7] - The new Tank 500 features advanced intelligent driving systems, enhancing its appeal to a diverse customer demographic [7] Financial Summary - Projected revenue growth from 173.21 billion CNY in 2023 to 359.89 billion CNY by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22.5% [6] - Net profit is expected to increase from 7.02 billion CNY in 2023 to 18.30 billion CNY by 2027, reflecting a significant recovery and growth trajectory [6] - The gross margin is projected to improve from 18.7% in 2023 to 21.0% by 2027, indicating enhanced operational efficiency [6] Profit Forecast and Investment Suggestions - The report adjusts net profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 to 14.7 billion CNY, 15.9 billion CNY, and 18.3 billion CNY respectively, while maintaining the "Recommended" rating [14]