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绿城中国(03900.HK):历史业绩承压 未来活力显现 理顺机制再出发
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-24 18:42
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and profit for the first half of 2025, aligning with market expectations, primarily due to reduced settlements, increased impairments, and decreased other income [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2025H1, the company's revenue was 53.4 billion yuan, down 23.3% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 210 million yuan, a decrease of 89.7% [1]. - The basic earnings per share were 0.08 yuan, reflecting a 90% decline year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin and net profit margin were 13.4% and 2.3%, respectively, with the gross margin increasing by 0.3 percentage points and the net profit margin decreasing by 2.5 percentage points [1]. Sales and Land Acquisition - The company achieved sales of 80.3 billion yuan in 2025H1, a decline of 6% year-on-year, outperforming the industry average decline of 18% [2]. - The sales area was 2.29 million square meters, down 18.2% year-on-year, while the average sales price increased by 15% to 35,000 yuan per square meter [2]. - The company actively acquired land, with a land acquisition amount of 36.2 billion yuan, up 135% year-on-year, and a land area of 3.55 million square meters, up 172% [2]. Financial Health and Debt Management - As of 2025H1, the company's asset-liability ratio, excluding advance receipts, was 67.1%, and the net debt ratio was 67.5%, indicating a healthy cash short-term debt ratio of 2.7 times [3]. - The company’s interest-bearing debt was 143 billion yuan, down 3.6% year-on-year, with an average financing cost of 3.4%, a reduction of 50 basis points compared to the end of 2024 [3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from structural price increases in core urban areas of first and second-tier cities, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 being 1.01 billion, 1.63 billion, and 1.98 billion yuan, respectively [3]. - The company maintains a "buy" rating, supported by its competitive advantages in the market and a robust product development system [3].