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速腾聚创(02498):从感知到执行,打造机器人技术平台
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-07-07 07:21
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [2][3]. Core Viewpoints - The company aims to become a leading global robotics technology platform, focusing on laser radar products and solutions for intelligent vehicles and robots [1][13]. - The laser radar market is expected to see significant growth, with projections indicating that the market for automotive laser radar could exceed 50 billion yuan by 2030, and the market for robotic laser radar could surpass 10 billion yuan [1][2]. Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve revenues of approximately 1.65 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of about 47% [1][26]. - The revenue breakdown for 2024 is expected to be 93% from products, 6% from solutions, and 1% from services [1][26]. - The adjusted net loss for 2024 is estimated at around 396 million yuan, showing a reduction in losses compared to previous years [1][26]. - The company anticipates laser radar shipments of approximately 544,200 units in 2024, with 519,800 units for ADAS and 24,400 units for robotics [1][31]. Industry Analysis - The laser radar industry is characterized by high barriers to entry and a stable oligopoly, with the company positioned as one of the industry leaders [2]. - The report highlights the potential for significant demand growth in the laser radar market, driven by advancements in technology and cost reductions [2][38]. - The competitive landscape is noted for its high concentration, indicating a stable oligopoly structure within the industry [2]. Product and Solution Overview - The company offers a range of laser radar products, including R, M, E, and EM series, as well as Active Camera and dexterous hands for robotics [1][19]. - Solutions provided include hand-eye coordination, intelligent mobility, and related toolchains, aimed at enhancing the functionality of robotic systems [1][19]. Future Projections - The company forecasts laser radar shipments to reach 780,000 units in 2025, 1.52 million units in 2026, and 2.26 million units in 2027 [2]. - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 2 billion yuan in 2025, 3.1 billion yuan in 2026, and 3.9 billion yuan in 2027, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 23%, 52%, and 28% [2].