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马斯克最新访谈原文:特斯拉FSD、人形机器人、星链、星舰发射计划和Grok
3 6 Ke· 2025-09-16 09:01
Group 1: Optimus Robot Development - The third version of the Optimus robot faces three main challenges: hand dexterity, AI brain capabilities, and large-scale production [2][3] - Achieving human-like hand functionality is crucial, requiring approximately 26 custom actuators per arm, which the current supply chain cannot provide [3] - Once mass production reaches 1 million units annually, the marginal production cost is estimated to be around $20,000 to $25,000 per robot [3] Group 2: Tesla AI Chip Advancements - The next-generation AI5 chip is expected to deliver a 40-fold performance improvement over the AI4 chip, significantly enhancing processing efficiency [4][30] - The AI4 chip currently used in vehicles is projected to make autonomous driving at least 2-3 times safer than human drivers, potentially reaching up to 10 times safer with the upcoming FSD v14 software update [5][30] Group 3: Starlink Direct-to-Phone Initiative - SpaceX plans to enable direct satellite-to-phone communication using new frequency bands, with a launch expected in two years [6][31] - The goal is to establish Starlink as a global independent operator, providing a comprehensive solution that includes a home antenna and direct phone connectivity [6][32] Group 4: Starship Progress and Reusability - The Starship is anticipated to achieve full reusability by next year, with the third version capable of carrying 100 tons into orbit, which is 2.5 times more than the current strongest commercial rocket [7][33] - Key challenges include developing a fully reusable thermal protection system that can withstand high temperatures and remain intact during re-entry [7][35] Group 5: Grok AI and General AI Development - Grok is enhancing training data through reasoning calculations, aiming to potentially launch a "Grok Encyclopedia" [8][39] - The Colossus 2 supercluster is being expanded, with expectations that a tenfold increase in computational power could lead to a doubling of intelligence [8][41]