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晋控煤业(601001):Q3产销环比下滑仍能实现利润增长 Q4煤价上行弹性有望更明显释放
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 12:32
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with expectations for improved price elasticity in Q4 due to rising coal prices [1][2][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 9.325 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.99% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 1.277 billion yuan, down 40.65% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025, the operating revenue was 3.360 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 12.85% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 5.13% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders in Q3 was 401 million yuan, down 43.94% year-on-year but up 10.08% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Group 2: Production and Sales - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company produced 26.19 million tons of coal, an increase of 1.5% year-on-year, while the sales volume of commercial coal was 20.86 million tons, down 5.5% year-on-year [2]. - In Q3 2025, coal production was 8.97 million tons, up 1.1% year-on-year but down 4.2% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The sales volume of commercial coal in Q3 was 7.56 million tons, a slight decrease of 0.7% year-on-year and a decline of 5.9% quarter-on-quarter [2]. Group 3: Pricing and Cost - The average selling price of coal for the first three quarters of 2025 was 437 yuan per ton, down 60.6 yuan per ton year-on-year [2]. - In Q3 2025, the selling price was 435 yuan per ton, a decrease of 60.4 yuan per ton year-on-year but an increase of 3.4 yuan per ton quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The cost of coal sales for the first three quarters was 271 yuan per ton, an increase of 5 yuan per ton year-on-year [3]. - In Q3 2025, the cost was 269 yuan per ton, up 16.7% year-on-year and 3.2% quarter-on-quarter [3]. - The gross profit per ton of coal for the first three quarters was 166 yuan, down 65.5 yuan per ton year-on-year [3]. Group 4: Investment Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 2.065 billion yuan, 2.468 billion yuan, and 2.717 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, corresponding to PE ratios of 12.3X, 10.3X, and 9.3X respectively [3].