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麦肯锡2025年技术趋势展望
麦肯锡· 2025-09-12 05:06
Core Insights - The article discusses the transformative impact of emerging technologies on global business landscapes, emphasizing the need for companies to adapt to these changes and leverage new opportunities [3][4][15]. Group 1: Key Technology Trends - The report identifies 13 key technology trends that are expected to reshape global business, focusing on the intersection of digital and physical realms, as well as centralized and decentralized systems [3][4]. - Artificial Intelligence (AI) is highlighted as a revolutionary technology that not only stands alone but also enhances other technological trends, creating new opportunities across various sectors [4][5]. - AI agents, which can autonomously plan and execute multi-step tasks, are emerging as a significant focus area, showing rapid growth despite currently lower investment levels compared to more mature trends [5][6]. Group 2: Investment Trends - In 2024, equity investment in AI is projected to reach $124.3 billion, reflecting a 35% increase in job openings from 2023 [19]. - Investment in specific application semiconductors is expected to be $7.5 billion in 2024, with a 22% increase in job openings [19]. - Cloud and edge computing are anticipated to attract $80.8 billion in investment, with a modest 2% increase in job openings [19]. Group 3: Challenges and Opportunities - The increasing demand for compute-intensive workloads is putting pressure on global infrastructure, revealing vulnerabilities in data centers and supply chains [8]. - Companies face challenges not only in technology but also in talent acquisition and regulatory compliance, which can slow down deployment efforts [8]. - The competition for control over key technologies is intensifying, with governments and companies investing heavily in local infrastructure and technology projects to mitigate geopolitical risks [9]. Group 4: Future Directions - The rise of autonomous systems, including both physical robots and digital agents, is moving from pilot projects to real-world applications, enhancing collaboration and adaptability [6][7]. - Human-machine collaboration is evolving towards more natural interfaces and adaptive intelligence, shifting the paradigm from machines replacing humans to enhancing human capabilities [7]. - Responsible AI innovation is becoming crucial, as companies must demonstrate transparency and accountability in their AI models to build trust and facilitate adoption [11].