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我国社会消费品零售总额今年有望突破五十万亿元——超大规模市场体量更大
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-12 06:35
Group 1: Consumption Market Growth - The retail sales of consumer goods are expected to grow at an average annual rate of 5.5% from 2020 to 2024, increasing from 39.1 trillion yuan in 2020 to 48.3 trillion yuan in 2024, with a forecast to exceed 50 trillion yuan this year [2] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles is over 50% in the first half of this year, with the number of new energy vehicles expected to increase by 5.4 times by 2024 compared to 2020 [2] - Service consumption expenditure is projected to grow at an average annual rate of 9.6% from 2020 to 2024, outpacing goods consumption [2] Group 2: Wholesale and Retail Industry Development - The added value of the wholesale and retail industry is expected to reach 13.8 trillion yuan in 2024, a 40% increase from the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan, employing 135 million people [3] - In rural areas, over 15,500 commercial outlets have been upgraded, with more than 95% of administrative villages receiving direct express delivery services [3] - The cold chain logistics sector has seen significant growth, with a total cold storage capacity of 25.3 million cubic meters and 495,000 refrigerated vehicles, representing increases of 42.9% and 80% respectively since the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan [3] Group 3: Foreign Investment and Trade - By mid-2023, actual foreign investment reached $708.73 billion, surpassing the target of $700 billion set for the 14th Five-Year Plan six months ahead of schedule [5] - The number of newly established foreign-funded enterprises reached 229,000, an increase of 25,000 compared to the 13th Five-Year Plan [5] - The share of high-tech industries in foreign investment is expected to reach 34.6% in 2024, up 6 percentage points from 2020 [5] Group 4: International Trade and Belt and Road Initiative - The scale of goods trade has maintained its position as the world's largest for eight consecutive years, with a projected growth of 32.4% from 2020 to 2024 [7] - Trade with countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative is expected to grow from $2.7 trillion in 2021 to $3.1 trillion in 2024, with an annual growth rate of 4.7% [8] - The number of foreign trade enterprises is nearing 700,000, with the share of private enterprises in exports increasing from 56% at the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan to 64.8% last year [7] Group 5: New Consumption Trends - There is a notable shift towards quality consumption, with consumers increasingly prioritizing the quality of goods over mere availability [9] - New consumption trends include the integration of traditional industries with innovative formats, such as cultural and creative products gaining popularity both domestically and internationally [9] - The potential for consumption remains strong, with ongoing policy support expected to enhance the supply of quality goods and stimulate consumer demand [9]