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2025中国AI“奇点”已至?摩根大通:应用井喷在即,DeepSeek点燃算力需求,阿里或成最大赢家
硬AI· 2025-03-10 10:32
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley believes that China's Generative AI (GAI) development is at the beginning of its second phase, with Alibaba positioned as a key player in the Infrastructure as a Service (IAAS) value chain, likely to outperform peers in this phase and potentially benefit from the third phase of applications [2][3]. Phase Summaries - **Phase 1**: Development of large language models (LLMs), focusing on building and optimizing LLMs [5]. - **Phase 2**: Application of GAI in existing applications and services, currently at the beginning stage where companies are exploring value creation models [6]. - **Phase 3**: Surge in internet service consumption as GAI applications become widespread, leading to significant financial gains for internet operators [7]. - **Phase 4**: Emergence of native GAI "killer applications" that will fundamentally change market competition and introduce new business models [8]. Infrastructure as a Service (IAAS) Insights - The report highlights that companies in the IAAS value chain will perform well in the second phase of GAI development, with revenue expectations likely to be positively revised. Alibaba is identified as the most promising stock in this area [11][12]. - Tencent, while holding a significant market share in China's IAAS, is viewed more as a beneficiary of AI applications rather than a primary player in the IAAS space [12][13]. Other Key Players - **Kuaishou**: Identified as an undervalued AI beneficiary, with expectations that AI will significantly enhance user engagement and monetization capabilities. The AI video/image generator Kling is projected to have over 6 million users by December 2024, indicating substantial monetization potential in various commercial verticals [15]. - **Baidu**: Positioned as both an IAAS cloud value chain player and a potential GAI application beneficiary. The company's stock outlook is contingent on the transformation of its core advertising and cloud business narratives [16].