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西部证券:猪价持续低迷 建议把握生猪养殖板块布局机会
智通财经网· 2025-12-23 05:48
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the listed pig companies' slaughter volume in November 2025 reached 18.2581 million heads, representing a year-on-year increase of 26.67% but a month-on-month decrease of 2.96% [1][2] - The cumulative slaughter volume of listed pig companies from January to November 2025 was 176 million heads, with a year-on-year growth of 21.42%, indicating stable growth around 20% [2] - The report suggests seizing investment opportunities in the pig farming sector, focusing on companies with strong growth in slaughter volume and stable operations, recommending Muyuan Foods (002714.SZ), Wens Foodstuff Group (300498.SZ), Tangrenshen (002567.SZ), Huatong Food (002840.SZ), and Juxing Agriculture (603477.SH) [1] Group 2 - The operating revenue of listed pig companies in November 2025 was 22.5556 billion yuan, down 17.03% year-on-year and 4.94% month-on-month [3] - The sales revenue from commodity pigs for leading companies in November was 9.390 billion yuan for Muyuan, 5.199 billion yuan for Wens, and 1.812 billion yuan for New Hope, with year-on-year declines of 20.43%, 14.19%, and 11.61% respectively [3] - The decline in revenue is attributed to a larger decrease in pig prices compared to the increase in slaughter volume, with cumulative revenue from January to November 2025 amounting to 268.644 billion yuan, a slight year-on-year increase of 2.09% [3] Group 3 - The average selling price of pigs in November increased by 1.60% month-on-month but decreased by 30.05% year-on-year [4] - The average selling prices for leading companies were 11.56 yuan/kg for Muyuan, 11.71 yuan/kg for Wens, and 11.54 yuan/kg for New Hope, with year-on-year declines of 28.73%, 29.92%, and 30.02% respectively [4] - The decline in average selling prices is due to ample supply and weak demand during the peak season, with expectations of low prices persisting until the Spring Festival [4] Group 4 - The average weight of pigs slaughtered in November was 105.80 kg per head, showing a month-on-month decrease of 0.35% and a year-on-year decrease of 3.31% [5] - Leading companies reported average weights of 123.04 kg for Muyuan, 101.98 kg for Wens, and 100.17 kg for New Hope, with month-on-month declines and varying year-on-year changes [5] - The decrease in average weight is a result of companies voluntarily reducing slaughter weights in response to market conditions [5]
生猪行业动态跟踪报告(月度):7月上市猪企出栏量同比高增环比下降,体重持续回落-20250821
Western Securities· 2025-08-21 11:02
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Overweight" [4][26] Core Insights - In July 2025, the total slaughter volume of listed pig companies reached 15.5382 million heads, a year-on-year increase of 31.36% but a month-on-month decrease of 4.59% [9][10] - The increase in slaughter volume is attributed to the capacity expansion of listed companies in 2024, while the month-on-month decline is due to low seasonal demand and previous high slaughter volumes influenced by policy [9][10] - Cumulative slaughter volume from January to July 2025 reached 110 million heads, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20.97% [9] Summary by Sections Slaughter Volume - In July 2025, the slaughter volume of listed pig companies was 15.5382 million heads, with leading companies like Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff, and New Hope Liuhe reporting slaughter volumes of 6.3550 million, 3.1648 million, and 1.3025 million heads respectively [9][12] - The cumulative slaughter volume for the first seven months of 2025 was 110 million heads, with growth rates around 20% for major companies [9] Revenue and Pricing - The revenue for listed pig companies in July 2025 was 24.647 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.85% and a month-on-month decrease of 6.64% [10][12] - The average selling price of pigs in July increased by 1.90% month-on-month but decreased by 22.35% year-on-year, with leading companies reporting prices of 14.30, 14.58, and 14.44 yuan per kilogram respectively [10][19] Average Weight - The average slaughter weight in July 2025 was 105.7 kg per head, showing a month-on-month decrease of 1.34% but a year-on-year increase of 0.53% [19][12] - Major companies adjusted their average slaughter weights in response to policy directives, with Muyuan Foods showing a significant year-on-year increase due to a lower base from the previous year [19]