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西部证券:7月上市猪企出栏量同比高增环比下降 推荐牧原股份(002714.SZ)等
智通财经网· 2025-08-22 03:46
Core Viewpoint - The report from Western Securities indicates a significant year-on-year increase in the hog output of listed pig companies in July 2025, but a seasonal demand weakness and policy adjustments have led to a month-on-month decline. Despite the growth in output, the drop in hog prices has negatively impacted revenue, resulting in an overall industry revenue decline of 6.64% month-on-month [1][2]. Group 1: Output and Performance - The hog output of listed pig companies in July 2025 reached 15.5382 million heads, representing a year-on-year increase of 31.36% but a month-on-month decrease of 4.59% [1]. - Among leading companies, Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and New Hope Liuhe reported hog outputs of 6.355 million, 3.1648 million, and 1.3025 million heads respectively, with year-on-year changes of +13.02%, +36.22%, and +3.21%, while month-on-month changes were -9.46%, +5.24%, and -2.07% [1]. - The cumulative output from January to July 2025 for listed pig companies was 110 million heads, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 20.97% [1]. Group 2: Revenue Analysis - The operating revenue of listed pig companies in July 2025 was 24.647 billion yuan, down 9.85% year-on-year and 6.64% month-on-month [2]. - Leading companies reported July sales revenues of 11.639 billion, 4.877 billion, and 1.802 billion yuan for Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and New Hope Liuhe respectively, with year-on-year changes of -10.41%, -8.72%, and -24.63% [2]. - The cumulative revenue from January to July 2025 for listed pig companies was 180.473 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 16.77% [2]. Group 3: Price Trends - The average selling price of hogs for listed companies in July increased by 1.90% month-on-month but decreased by 22.35% year-on-year [3]. - The average selling prices for Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and New Hope Liuhe were 14.30, 14.58, and 14.44 yuan per kilogram respectively, with month-on-month increases of 1.56%, 1.32%, and 1.83% [3]. Group 4: Weight Metrics - The average weight of hogs sold in July was 105.7 kg per head, showing a month-on-month decrease of 1.34% but a year-on-year increase of 0.53% [4]. - The average weights for Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and New Hope Liuhe were 128.07, 105.69, and 95.81 kg per head respectively, with month-on-month changes of -1.11%, -7.03%, and -3.43% [4].
西部证券:7月上市猪企出栏量同比高增环比下降 推荐牧原股份等
智通财经网· 2025-08-22 03:44
Core Viewpoint - The report from Western Securities indicates a significant year-on-year increase in the hog output of listed pig companies in July 2025, but a seasonal demand weakness and policy adjustments have led to a month-on-month decline. Despite the growth in output, the drop in hog prices has negatively impacted revenue, resulting in an overall industry revenue decline of 6.64% month-on-month [1][2]. Group 1: Output and Sales - The hog output of listed pig companies in July 2025 reached 15.5382 million heads, representing a year-on-year increase of 31.36% but a month-on-month decrease of 4.59% [1]. - Major companies such as Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and New Hope Liuhe reported July hog outputs of 6.355 million, 3.1648 million, and 1.3025 million heads, with year-on-year changes of +13.02%, +36.22%, and +3.21% respectively, while month-on-month changes were -9.46%, +5.24%, and -2.07% [1]. - The cumulative output from January to July 2025 for listed pig companies was 110 million heads, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 20.97% [1]. Group 2: Revenue Performance - The operating revenue for listed pig companies in July 2025 was 24.647 billion yuan, down 9.85% year-on-year and 6.64% month-on-month [2]. - Major companies reported July sales revenues of 11.639 billion, 4.877 billion, and 1.802 billion yuan for Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and New Hope Liuhe, with year-on-year changes of -10.41%, -8.72%, and -24.63% respectively [2]. - The cumulative revenue from January to July 2025 for listed pig companies was 180.473 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 16.77% [2]. Group 3: Price Trends - The average selling price of hogs for listed companies in July increased by 1.90% month-on-month but decreased by 22.35% year-on-year [3]. - The average selling prices for Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and New Hope Liuhe were 14.30, 14.58, and 14.44 yuan per kilogram, with month-on-month increases of 1.56%, 1.32%, and 1.83% respectively [3]. Group 4: Weight Metrics - The average weight of hogs sold in July was 105.7 kg per head, showing a month-on-month decrease of 1.34% but a year-on-year increase of 0.53% [4]. - Major companies reported average weights of 128.07 kg, 105.69 kg, and 95.81 kg per head, with month-on-month changes of -1.11%, -7.03%, and -3.43% respectively [4].