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由下而上的投资策略
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景顺:采取由下而上的策略 重点关注基本面强劲、盈利有韧性且受关税等外部冲击有限的个别公司
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-06-11 08:16
Group 1: Investment Outlook - The mid-2025 outlook for the Chinese stock market is influenced by both domestic and international factors, with a focus on domestic consumption as a key area of interest [1] - The government is expected to continue and expand the successful "trade-in" consumption policy from the previous year, aimed at boosting consumer confidence and spending [2] - The global trade environment remains uncertain, with potential challenges to exports due to ongoing trade policy impacts and declining global demand [3] Group 2: Investment Strategy - In light of the unclear macro environment, a bottom-up investment approach is recommended, focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and resilient earnings that are less affected by external shocks [4] - This strategy allows investors to be more flexible in responding to market volatility and to identify long-term winners across various sectors [4] Group 3: Capital Inflows and Valuation - Strong inflows of southbound capital through the connectivity mechanism reflect a favorable liquidity environment and interest in Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong, with net purchases reaching $78 billion, accounting for 75% of the expected total for 2024 [5] - The current valuation of the Chinese stock market remains attractive, with the MSCI China Index trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 11 times, representing a significant discount of about 47% compared to the U.S. market [5]