电气新时代

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10年间全球能源投资版图巨变,清洁能源已占2/3
第一财经· 2025-06-19 13:47
Core Viewpoint - The global energy sector is expected to reach a record investment of $3.3 trillion in 2025, driven by energy security concerns amid geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties, with clean energy technologies attracting $2.2 trillion, nearly double the investment in traditional fossil fuels [1][2]. Investment Trends - Clean energy investments, particularly in solar photovoltaic technology, have nearly doubled over the past five years, with projected investments reaching $450 billion in 2025, making it the largest single project in global energy investment [2]. - Fossil fuel investments are expected to decline for the first time since 2020, with oil investments dropping to $420 billion, a 6% decrease, marking the largest decline since 1996 [3]. Regional Insights - China has become the largest investor in clean energy, increasing its share from 25% to 33% of global investments, with over $625 billion in 2024, nearly double the amount from a decade ago [5]. - Developed countries in Europe and the U.S. are also increasing their clean energy investments, while emerging economies like India and Brazil are showing strong performance in solar, wind, and bioenergy markets [5]. Electrification and Power Demand - The demand for electricity is rising due to the electrification of industries, transportation, and data centers, with investments in the power sector expected to exceed $1.5 trillion, a 50% increase over fossil fuel investments [8][9]. - The global electricity demand is projected to increase by 3,500 TWh over the next three years, equivalent to adding the electricity consumption of Japan annually [9]. Renewable Energy Supply - Renewable energy is expected to meet 95% of the global electricity demand growth from 2025 to 2027, with solar and wind being the primary sources [9]. - The report emphasizes the need for enhanced grid investments to accommodate the growing share of renewable energy, with an expected $400 billion in new investments this year [9][10]. Strategic Recommendations - Countries are advised to develop long-term strategic plans to leverage AI and digital technologies for grid upgrades, optimizing regulatory mechanisms to enhance grid flexibility and reliability [10]. - To meet the targets set by the 28th UN Climate Change Conference, annual investments in renewable energy need to double, alongside increased investments in supporting grid and storage infrastructure [10].