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电池行业月报:1季度电池供需两旺,受关税影响储能电池对美出口短期存波动-20250414
BOCOM International· 2025-04-14 12:13
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to several companies in the battery industry, including Ningde Times, Yiwei Lithium Energy, Guoxuan High-Tech, and others, with target prices indicating significant potential upside [1][18]. Core Insights - The battery industry is experiencing robust supply and demand, with a notable increase in the production and installation of power batteries. In Q1 2025, the total production and sales of power and other batteries in China reached 326.3 GWh and 285.8 GWh, respectively, marking year-on-year growth of 74.9% and 73.7% [2][18]. - The cumulative installation of power batteries in Q1 2025 was 130.2 GWh, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 52.8%. In March alone, the installation volume reached 56.6 GWh, with significant month-on-month growth [2][18]. - The report highlights the impact of tariffs on the export of energy storage batteries to the U.S., indicating potential short-term fluctuations. In 2024, China's lithium-ion battery exports to the U.S. amounted to $15.315 billion, with energy storage batteries being a major product [2][18]. Summary by Sections Production and Sales - In Q1 2025, China's total battery production and sales reached 326.3 GWh and 285.8 GWh, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 74.9% and 73.7% [2][18]. - The power battery installation volume in March 2025 was 56.6 GWh, showing a month-on-month increase of 62.3% [2][18]. Market Dynamics - The market concentration for power battery installations slightly decreased, with the top three and five companies holding 71.7% and 80.6% market shares, respectively [2][18]. - Ningde Times' market share in power battery installations decreased by 2.1 percentage points to 42.4% in March 2025 [2][18]. New Product Developments - Several companies, including BYD and Yiwei Lithium Energy, have launched new battery products aimed at electric two-wheelers and power tools, showcasing advancements in power density and charging capabilities [2][18]. Strategic Collaborations - Ningde Times has entered into a strategic cooperation agreement with NIO to support the development of NIO's battery swap network, indicating a proactive approach to market expansion [2][18]. Export Trends - The report notes that energy storage batteries are significantly affected by recent tariff increases, with expectations of shared burdens between Chinese storage companies and U.S. end-users in the short term [2][18].