电煤联动

Search documents
电力行业2025年度中期投资策略:火、绿同台,量、价何如
Huafu Securities· 2025-08-02 11:28
Group 1 - The report maintains a strong market rating for the utility sector, highlighting the dual focus on traditional and renewable energy sources as a key investment strategy for 2025 [1][2] - In the first half of 2025, electricity consumption growth was weaker than the same period last year, with a total of 4.84 trillion kWh consumed, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.7% [3][11] - The report forecasts that by 2030, the share of wind and solar energy will exceed 30%, while coal power will drop below 40%, indicating a shift towards a more balanced energy market [3][57] Group 2 - The hydropower sector is expected to see accelerated growth in pumped storage capacity, reaching approximately 66 million kW by the end of 2025, driven by increasing demand for flexible power resources [3][28] - The thermal power sector is experiencing a reduction in revenue but an increase in profitability, with coal prices declining, which is expected to enhance the earnings potential of coal power companies [3][61] - Nuclear power development remains robust, with 10 new units approved in 2025, contributing to a total of 56 units under construction or approved, ensuring long-term growth in this segment [3][61] Group 3 - The renewable energy sector is transitioning from subsidy dependence to market-driven dynamics, with policies promoting direct market access for wind and solar projects [3][61] - Investment recommendations include focusing on companies that can adapt to the new energy structure, with specific mentions of companies in hydropower, thermal power, nuclear power, and renewable energy sectors [3][61] - The report emphasizes the importance of system flexibility to accommodate the increasing share of renewable energy, predicting a gradual increase in the proportion of flexible adjustment resources [3][66]