1、不婚化加剧。2024年结婚对数创1978年以来近47年来的新低。2013-2024年，我国结婚登记对数从 1346.9万对的历史高点持续下滑至610.6万对，降幅54.7%。2025年上半年全国结婚登记353.9万对，同比 增加10.9万对。 2、疫情后补偿性结婚需求结束。2023年结婚登记对数768.2万对，同比增长12.4%，主因疫情后补偿性 结婚需求释放。2024年全国结婚登记610.6万对，同比减少157.6万对，说明补偿性需求已经结束。 3、离婚率小幅提升。"离婚冷静期"使2021-2022年离婚对数大幅下降。2023年后离婚率连续2年回升， 制度调整短期效果减弱，离婚数增长，2025年上半年离婚登记同比+4.5%。 4、初婚人数减少。2013-2023年，内地居民初婚登记人数从2386万的高点降至1194万人；再婚人数先升 后降。2019年达到455.9万人峰值后降至2023年的342.5万人。 格隆汇8月4日｜据泽平宏观，民政部近日发布《2025年2季度民政统计数据》，由于5月施行的《婚姻登 记条例》优化婚姻登记服务，以及"520"、"521"这类登记的"良辰吉日"等，第二季度，全国结婚、离 ...

Core Viewpoint - Vietnam has amended its long-standing birth policy, allowing couples to decide the number of children they wish to have, in response to declining fertility rates and demographic changes [1][5][9]. Group 1: Policy Changes - The National Assembly of Vietnam has passed an amendment to the Population Law, removing the previous limit of two children per couple, allowing for personal choice in family planning [1][5]. - The new law states that individuals or couples can decide on the timing, number of children, and spacing between births based on various personal factors [5][9]. Group 2: Demographic Trends - Vietnam's total fertility rate has been declining, recorded at 2.01 in 2022, 1.96 in 2023, and further dropping to 1.91 in 2024, which is below the replacement level of 2.1 [5][9]. - The decline in fertility rates is particularly pronounced in urban areas, with young couples opting for fewer children due to economic pressures and lifestyle changes [6][10]. Group 3: Societal Implications - The government recognizes that merely changing laws will not quickly reverse the declining birth rate, as societal attitudes towards family size have shifted significantly [9][10]. - Vietnam is facing challenges related to an aging population, with projections indicating that by 2050, over 25% of the population will be aged 60 and above [10]. Group 4: Gender Imbalance - There is a notable gender imbalance in Vietnam, with the male-to-female birth ratio recorded at 111.4 in 2024, which is above the natural level [10]. - The government has implemented strict penalties against prenatal sex selection, proposing to increase fines for violations to deter gender imbalance [10].