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迈威生物(688062):IL-11单抗全球领先,战略布局抗衰老及病理性瘢痕等
Soochow Securities· 2025-09-01 23:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Insights - 9MW3811, an IL-11 monoclonal antibody developed by the company, is leading globally in clinical progress and has received clinical access in China, the US, and Australia, with completed Phase I trials showing good safety [2][17] - The company has licensed global development and commercialization rights for 9MW3811 (excluding Greater China) to Calico Life Sciences, receiving a non-refundable upfront payment of $25 million and potential milestone payments up to $571 million [2][36] - The market potential for treating pathological scars, including hypertrophic scars and keloids, is significant, with the US market projected to grow from $10.3 billion in 2020 to $12.3 billion in 2025, and further to $18.6 billion by 2030 [40][44] Summary by Sections 1. 9MW3811: Targeting Fibrosis and Aging - 9MW3811 effectively blocks the IL-11/IL-11Ra signaling pathway, addressing unmet needs in fibrosis and aging [2][3] - The mechanism of action for 9MW3811 is well-defined, targeting key aging markers and potentially improving metabolic function and chronic inflammation [3][18] - The product is positioned to address the urgent clinical needs in the pathological scar market, with a projected market size of $5.9 billion in China by 2030 [3][40] 2. Multiple Promising Pipeline Products - 9MW1911, a ST2 monoclonal antibody for COPD, is in Phase Ib/IIa trials with all 80 patients enrolled, aiming for efficacy data by the end of 2025 [4][49] - 9MW2821, a Nectin-4 ADC, is leading globally in clinical progress with promising efficacy data across multiple cancer types, including bladder and triple-negative breast cancer [4][55] - The company is developing additional ADCs and TCE platforms, enhancing its pipeline diversity and potential market impact [4][49] 3. Earnings Forecast and Investment Rating - The revenue forecast for 2025-2027 is maintained at approximately $1.11 billion, $1.24 billion, and $2.09 billion respectively, excluding unrecognized business development payments [5] - The report emphasizes the strong potential of the company's pipeline and maintains a "Buy" rating based on these projections [5]