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渝农商行(601077):盈利增速边际回升
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:35
渝农商行2025Q1 营收同比增长1.3%,增速较24A 提升0.3pc;归母净利润同比增长6.3%,增速较24A 提 升0.7pc。2025Q1 末不良率1.17%,环比持平;2025Q1末拨备覆盖率363%,环比持平。 盈利增速回升 渝农商行2025Q1 盈利增速回升,资产质量平稳。 数据概览 资产质量平稳 25Q1 末不良率环比持平于1.17%,测算不良TTM 生成率环比-9bp,不良表现整体平稳。拨备方面, 25Q1 末拨备覆盖率363%,环比基本持平,拨备水平充足。 盈利预测与估值 预计渝农商行2025-2027 年归母净利润同比增长6.6%/7.6%/7.7%,对应BPS11.84/12.65/13.54 元。维持目 标价7.81 元/股,对应2025 年PB 估值0.66x,现价空间15%,维持"买入"评级。 风险提示:宏观经济失速,不良大幅暴露。 2025Q1营收同比增长1.3%,增速较24A提升0.3pc;归母净利润同比增长6.3%,增速较24A 提升0.7pc。 驱动因素来看,规模扩张提速、息差拖累改善,减值支撑加大。①规模,25Q1 末总资产同比增长 8.0%,增速较24A 末提升3pc ...
渝农商行:盈利增速边际回升-20250427
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-04-27 10:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank with a target price of 7.81 CNY per share, corresponding to a 2025 PB valuation of 0.66x, indicating a potential upside of 15% from the current price of 6.79 CNY per share [5][8]. Core Views - The bank's Q1 2025 earnings growth has shown a marginal recovery, with a 1.3% year-on-year increase in revenue and a 6.3% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, reflecting improved operational performance [2][5]. - Asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 1.17% at the end of Q1 2025, unchanged from the previous quarter, and a provision coverage ratio of 363% [4][5]. Summary by Sections Earnings Growth - In Q1 2025, revenue increased by 1.3% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 6.3%, driven by accelerated asset growth and improved net interest margin [2][3]. - Total assets grew by 8.0% year-on-year, with corporate loans seeing a significant increase of 17%, indicating strong credit demand in the Chongqing region [2][3]. Net Interest Margin - The average net interest margin for Q1 2025 was 1.61%, stable compared to 2024, supported by a reduction in funding costs [3][4]. - The asset yield decreased to 3.11%, primarily due to the impact of LPR repricing, while the cost of liabilities fell to 1.62% [3][4]. Asset Quality - The NPL ratio remained stable at 1.17%, with a year-on-year decline in impairment losses of 19.2%, indicating improved credit quality [4][5]. - The provision coverage ratio was maintained at a robust 363%, reflecting adequate provisioning levels [4][5]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The bank is expected to achieve net profit growth of 6.6%, 7.6%, and 7.7% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding book values per share of 11.84 CNY, 12.65 CNY, and 13.54 CNY [5][6].