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赣锋锂业(002460):锂价下行拖累业绩 阿根廷盐湖整合推进
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-26 02:40
Core Viewpoint - The company's 1H25 performance fell short of expectations, with significant declines in revenue and net profit due to falling lithium prices and increased financial costs [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company reported revenue of 8.376 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.65%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -531 million yuan, down 30.13% year-on-year. The non-recurring net profit was -913 million yuan [1]. - For 2Q25, the company achieved revenue of 4.604 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.62% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22.07%. However, the net profit was -175 million yuan, and the non-recurring net profit was -671 million yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year decline of 814.98% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 176.91% [1]. - The decline in lithium prices led to a decrease in profits and investment income, with domestic battery-grade lithium carbonate prices at 70,000 yuan per ton, down 32% year-on-year. The gross profit from lithium business was 400 million yuan, down 48% year-on-year [1]. - Financial expenses increased to 720 million yuan, a year-on-year rise of 23%, primarily due to increased borrowings, resulting in a debt-to-asset ratio of 58.6%, up 12.23 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Business Segments - The lithium battery business showed growth, achieving a gross profit of 420 million yuan, up 57.7% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 14.17%, an increase of 4.29 percentage points year-on-year. This growth supported overall performance [1]. Development Trends - The integration of Argentine salt lake projects is progressing, with the company planning to develop the Pozuelos-PastoesGrandes salt lake basin through a joint venture with LAR, holding 67% and 33% stakes respectively [3]. - The Goulamina lithium mine in Mali is expected to be a significant source of hard rock lithium, with the first phase producing 506,000 tons of concentrate annually now in operation [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecast, with the current stock price corresponding to a 2026 P/E of 41.0 times for A-shares and 29.2 times for H-shares. The target prices for A-shares and H-shares have been raised by 8% and 29% to 41.60 yuan and 32.16 HKD, respectively, indicating an upside potential of 6% and 4% compared to current prices [4].