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车厘子价格大跳水,背后隐藏着国际贸易新格局的秘密
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-10 14:16
Core Viewpoint - The significant drop in cherry prices in China reflects a broader trend of premium fruits becoming more affordable, driven by changes in logistics and trade agreements [4][16]. Price Trends - Cherry prices have decreased from 80 yuan per kilogram in 2019 to a range of 30 to 45 yuan, aligning with prices in Spain, which has a much higher GDP per capita [5]. - Other fruits like blueberries and avocados are also experiencing price reductions, with a 22% increase in imported berry volumes expected in 2024 [5]. Consumer Behavior - The reduction in cherry prices has led to increased consumer purchasing power, with shoppers now buying in bulk without hesitation [2][7]. - The shopping experience has transformed, with consumers actively engaging in selecting fruits, a stark contrast to previous years [7]. Logistics Innovations - The shift from air freight to sea freight has been pivotal, with 85% of cherries now transported via specialized sea routes, reducing shipping costs from $300 to $110 per box [9]. - Cold chain technology has improved, allowing for a consistent temperature of -1.5°C and reducing shipping time from 45 days to 28 days, ensuring freshness upon arrival [11]. Trade Agreements - Chile, which exports 90% of its cherries to China, benefits from a free trade agreement that eliminated tariffs, enhancing trade efficiency [13]. - The reduction in tariffs and the implementation of RCEP rules have decreased the overall tax burden on cherry imports by nearly 20% [13]. Domestic Production - Domestic cherry production in regions like Shandong and Yunnan is emerging, with prices between 25 to 35 yuan per kilogram, allowing for seasonal consumption of both local and imported cherries [15]. Future Outlook - The price decline is not seen as a temporary promotion but as a result of structural changes in trade and logistics, with expectations of further price reductions post-Hainan's customs closure [16]. - The trend of affordable premium fruits is likely to extend beyond cherries to other imported fruits, enriching the Chinese market [18].