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?2026年REITs与房地产服务股票相对价值“分层” Federal(FRT.US)依托资本循环获小摩青睐
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-19 04:52
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has made significant adjustments to the ratings of nine popular investment targets in the REITs and real estate services sector for 2026, with seven downgrades and two upgrades, reflecting a more stratified rating distribution as the probability of a soft landing for the U.S. economy increases and the Fed's rate-cutting cycle is expected to continue [1][2]. Group 1: Downgraded Companies - Realty Income (O.US) rating downgraded from "Neutral" to "Underweight" due to its large scale making it difficult to achieve above-average profit growth compared to its net lease REIT peers [3]. - Public Storage (PSA.US) rating downgraded from "Overweight" to "Neutral" as improvements in core growth rates are expected to take longer and not follow a straight line [3]. - Welltower (WELL.US) rating downgraded from "Overweight" to "Neutral" based on a short-term stock price judgment rather than any deterioration in growth prospects [3]. - Regency Centers (REG.US) rating downgraded from "Overweight" to "Neutral," which is also a temporary stock trend judgment, as REG is still considered to have one of the best platforms in the REIT sector with optimistic long-term growth prospects [3]. - Kennedy Wilson (KW.US) rating downgraded from "Neutral" to "Underweight" due to limited upside potential from a pending privatization offer [4]. - UDR (UDR.US) rating downgraded from "Neutral" to "Underweight" [4]. - SmartStop (SMA.US) rating adjusted from "Overweight" to "Neutral" [4]. Group 2: Upgraded Companies - Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT.US) rating upgraded from "Neutral" to "Overweight" as the company effectively recycles capital from mature assets into higher-quality retail assets, improving growth visibility for 2026 [5]. - Camden Property Trust (CPT.US) rating upgraded from "Underweight" to "Neutral" due to a stronger balance sheet providing greater flexibility for buybacks and development, significantly improving relative risk-reward compared to UDR [5].
2026年REITs与房地产服务股票相对价值“分层” Federal(FRT.US)依托资本循环获小摩青睐
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-19 04:05
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has made significant rating adjustments for nine popular investment targets in the REITs and real estate services sector, with seven downgrades and two upgrades, reflecting a more stratified rating distribution as the U.S. economy approaches a soft landing and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle is expected to continue [1][2]. Group 1: Downgraded Companies - Realty Income (O.US) rating downgraded from "Neutral" to "Underweight" due to its large scale making it difficult to achieve above-average profit growth compared to its net lease REIT peers [3]. - Public Storage (PSA.US) rating downgraded from "Overweight" to "Neutral" as expectations for PSA's core growth rate improvement are likely to be prolonged and not linear [3]. - Welltower (WELL.US) rating downgraded from "Overweight" to "Neutral" based on a short-term stock price judgment rather than any deterioration in growth prospects [3]. - Regency Centers (REG.US) rating downgraded from "Overweight" to "Neutral," which is also a temporary stock trend judgment, as REG is still considered to have one of the best platforms in the REIT sector with optimistic long-term growth prospects [3]. - Kennedy Wilson (KW.US) rating downgraded from "Neutral" to "Underweight" due to limited upside potential from a pending privatization offer [4]. - UDR (UDR.US) rating downgraded from "Neutral" to "Underweight" [4]. - SmartStop (SMA.US) rating downgraded from "Overweight" to "Neutral" [4]. Group 2: Upgraded Companies - Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT.US) rating upgraded from "Neutral" to "Overweight" as the company effectively recycles capital from mature assets into higher-quality retail assets, improving growth visibility for 2026 [5]. - Camden Property Trust (CPT.US) rating upgraded from "Underweight" to "Neutral" due to its stronger balance sheet providing greater flexibility for buybacks and development in 2026, significantly improving relative risk-reward [5].