短期利率期货
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就业数据公布后,市场押注美联储将在更长时间内暂停降息
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-09 14:48
Group 1 - The unemployment rate in the U.S. decreased from a revised 4.5% in November to 4.4% last month, with employers adding 50,000 jobs, which was below expectations [1][3] - The decline in the unemployment rate may alleviate the Federal Reserve's concerns about a weak labor market and provide justification for maintaining policy interest rates for a longer period [1][3] - Despite the ongoing slowdown in monthly job growth, the improvement in the unemployment rate gives the Federal Reserve more breathing room to keep short-term borrowing costs unchanged while waiting for better inflation data [1][3] Group 2 - Following the employment report, short-term interest rate futures fell, with traders now estimating a 45% chance of a rate cut by April, down from approximately 50% before the report [2][4] - The market now believes it is more likely that the Federal Reserve will resume rate cuts in June [2][4]
美国短期利率期货在非农就业报告公布后下跌。
news flash· 2025-07-03 12:37
Core Viewpoint - U.S. short-term interest rate futures declined following the release of the non-farm payroll report [1] Group 1 - The decline in short-term interest rate futures indicates market reactions to employment data [1]