短期高点防范
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明天几乎又是许涨不许跌了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-29 08:46
Core Viewpoint - The market shows potential for a mid-term strengthening, with short-term bullish advantages but limited strength. Key resistance levels are identified, and maintaining certain support levels is crucial for future movements [1][4][14]. Market Performance - The market opened at 3964, reached a high of 3983, and closed at 3965, with a significant number of stocks declining compared to those that rose, indicating a bearish sentiment [2]. - The trading day exhibited volatility, with major indices hitting new intraday lows, reflecting a lack of clear upward momentum [2][16]. Technical Analysis - The market needs to close above 3960 to be considered acceptable, with a stronger close above 3980 being preferable. The closing above 3960 was deemed marginally acceptable, indicating a potential for mid-term strength [4][16]. - Key resistance levels are identified at 3983 and 3988, with a breakthrough of 3988 necessary for further upward movement towards 4034 [5][18]. Short-term Outlook - The next trading day is critical, with a focus on whether the market can surpass 3983. If it fails to do so, this could indicate a short-term peak [5][17]. - The market's performance is closely monitored, with specific attention to the support level at 3936, which must hold to confirm the significance of the recent low at 3815 [5][17]. Market Sentiment - The overall sentiment remains cautious, with indications that the market may experience fluctuations rather than a straightforward decline. The potential for a month-long adjustment period is acknowledged [7][18]. - The market's current state is characterized by a mix of bullish and bearish signals, with the possibility of both upward and downward movements in the near term [17].
午评:此种走势让人很不踏实,小心点冲高回落是必须的
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-29 05:32
Group 1 - The market showed a mixed performance with more stocks declining than rising, indicating a lack of strong upward momentum [2] - The critical support level for the market is at 3960, and it is essential to maintain above this level to avoid further declines [2] - The market's short-term outlook suggests caution, with potential for a short-term peak if it fails to break above 3988 [2] Group 2 - The daily key level is around 3930, and the market must stay above this to maintain a bullish outlook [3] - The mid-term critical levels are identified at 3920-4000 for weekly trends and 3900-3960 for monthly trends, with the need to stay above the 60-day moving average to avoid a bearish market [3] - A closing above 3970 is acceptable, while a close above 3980 is considered good, and above 3990 is strong [3]
收评:接下来应以防形成短期高点为主,运行在3960之上才行
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-26 07:42
Group 1 - The market is showing signs of potential strength, with a focus on breaking through the resistance level of 3988 for further upward movement towards 4034 [2][3] - The closing of the market indicates a bullish control, with the need to maintain above the support level of 3936 to avoid further declines [3] - Key technical indicators suggest that the market is in a critical phase, with the daily life line at approximately 3928, and maintaining above this level is essential for a bullish outlook [3] Group 2 - The strong and weak dividing line for the market is set at 3977, with pressure levels at 3971, 3988, and 4007, while support levels are at 3957, 3945, and 3936 [4] - For the ChiNext index, the strong and weak dividing line is at 3268, with pressure levels at 3260, 3281, and 3313, and support levels at 3232, 3219, and 3204 [4] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that the market needs to stay above the 60-day moving average to return to a bullish state, and above the 250-day moving average to avoid a bearish trend [4]