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午评:抛压已经开始显现,主要的抛压或会体现在午后
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 08:44
Group 1 - The market showed mixed performance with individual stocks fluctuating, indicating a lack of clear direction [2] - The key support levels are identified at 4113-4045, which should not be breached to maintain market stability [2] - The next critical time point for the market is Friday, with a focus on observing selling pressure [2] Group 2 - The short-term technical outlook suggests that the market needs to stay above 4116 to maintain a bullish sentiment [3] - Key resistance levels are set between 4111-4046, with the upper boundary needing to hold for a strong market [3] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that maintaining levels above 4120-4145 is crucial for sustaining a bullish trend [3]
跌过头后的超跌反弹,明天是时间窗
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-03 11:49
Market Overview - The market opened at 4043, reached a low of 4002, a high of 4069, and closed at 4067, with a bullish trend as 4856 stocks rose against 532 that fell [1] - Historical patterns indicate that stocks are showing signs of resilience, which is often seen before a market bottom [1] - The closing above 4064 is deemed acceptable, while a close above 4084 would be better, and above 4103 would indicate strong market conditions [1] Technical Analysis - The daily key areas for the major indices are identified, with the market currently positioned between 4096 and 4027, closing above the lower boundary [4] - The short-term technical outlook suggests that the market is in a mixed state, with potential for both upward and downward movements [7][8] - The daily life line is around 4090, and staying above this level is necessary for a bullish outlook [8] Index Performance - The major indices showed varied performance, with the main index closing as a small bullish candle, indicating a potential reversal pattern [7] - The ChiNext index closed with a small bullish candle, suggesting short-term bullish sentiment despite a mid-term bearish outlook [7] Future Projections - The possibility of breaking through the 4190 level before the Spring Festival is considered low, indicating a cautious outlook for the near term [2] - Key resistance and support levels for the indices have been outlined, with significant levels at 4131 for the market and 3368 for the ChiNext index [8]
收评:4012-3970已不容再失。周三是个时间窗。
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-02 07:18
Group 1 - The overall market sentiment is bearish, with the possibility of breaking through 4190 before the Spring Festival significantly reduced, making short-term predictions difficult [2][3] - The market closed at 4034, indicating a strong control by bears, with a significant drop after a large opening [3] - The short-term technical indicators suggest a weak trend, with the need to reclaim levels above 4120-4136 for any potential reversal [3] Group 2 - Key resistance levels for the market are identified at 4079, 4103, and 4123, while support levels are at 4012, 3983, and 3970 [4] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that maintaining above the 60-day moving average is necessary to sustain a bull market, while staying above the 250-day moving average is crucial to avoid a return to a bear market [4]
午评:目前看中期已有走软之危,短期多头想组织反击已比较困难
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-02 04:09
Market Overview - The market opened lower, indicating a downward trend, with more stocks declining than rising [2] - The overall market sentiment is weak, with a significant drop leading to a bearish control of the market [3] Technical Analysis - The critical support levels are identified at 4108-4084, which must be maintained to avoid further declines [3] - The daily life line is at approximately 4114, and the market needs to stay above this level to maintain a bullish outlook [4] - Key resistance levels are noted at 4192-4214, and failure to break through these levels may necessitate a reduction in positions [3] Short-term Outlook - The possibility of breaking through 4190 before the Spring Festival has decreased, making short-term predictions challenging [3] - A closing above 4120 is acceptable, while a close above 4130 is considered good, and above 4140 is strong [4] Mid to Long-term Trends - The weekly critical levels for February are between 4120-4145, while the monthly critical levels are between 4010-4040 [4] - The market must remain above the 60-day moving average to sustain a bull market and above the 250-day moving average to avoid reverting to a bear market [4]
收评:多空肉搏战胜负还需观察,多头不努力就可能挨揍
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-26 10:32
Group 1 - The market closed at approximately 4135, indicating an acceptable outcome with more stocks rising than falling [2] - The index showed a strong mid-term trend, with short-term bullish sentiment prevailing, while the ChiNext index displayed a weak balance between bulls and bears [3] - Key resistance levels for the market are identified at 4192-4214, while the support range of 4120-4109 is critical and should not be breached [3] Group 2 - The strong and weak dividing line for the market is set at 4169, with pressure points at 4153, 4160, and 4179, and support levels at 4124, 4113, and 4103 [4] - For the ChiNext index, the strong and weak dividing line is at 3383, with resistance levels at 3353, 3367, and 3371, and support levels at 3304, 3290, and 3280 [4] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that maintaining above the 60-day moving average is necessary to sustain a bull market, while staying above the 250-day moving average is essential to avoid reverting to a bear market [4]
收评:明天是时间窗,可适当关注券商的态度
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-19 08:05
Group 1 - The market showed a low opening and a small upward movement, closing below 4115, indicating a lack of strong bullish sentiment [2] - The index formed a 15-minute bottom divergence after touching the 10-day line, which is unusual as it lacked rebound desire [2] - The market is currently in a short-term bearish phase, with the need to break above 4170 to potentially end this short-term adjustment [2][3] Group 2 - The critical support and resistance levels for the market are identified, with resistance at 4127, 4140, and 4154, and support at 4090, 4083, and 4071 [4] - The long-term trend indicates that maintaining above the 60-day line is necessary to sustain a bull market, while staying above the 250-day line is essential to avoid reverting to a bear market [4]
午评:有点绝地反击的味道但被空头给摁下来了,今天收阳可接受
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-19 04:11
Group 1 - The market opened lower and showed a lack of directional movement, with more stocks rising than falling. The early market pattern indicated a potential bullish close, but the afternoon session could reverse this if new lows were reached [2] - The previous trading day saw a formation of a 15-minute bottom divergence after touching the 10-day moving average, indicating a rare lack of rebound desire. The closing was under the control of bears, with a short-term adjustment expected to last 3-5 days [2] - Key resistance levels are identified at 4192-4214, with a critical support range between 4102-4083 that should not be lost. A close above 4125 is acceptable, but a larger bullish candle is needed for a stronger reversal [2] Group 2 - The daily lifeline is positioned around 4082, and the market must remain above this level to maintain a bullish outlook. The key range for the market is between 4083-3977, with strength only if it stays above the upper boundary [3] - In the afternoon, a close above 4125 is acceptable, while above 4135 is considered good, and above 4145 is strong. A minimum close above 4115 is necessary for a positive outlook [4] - The mid to long-term market trend indicates that the weekly strong-weak dividing line is between 3960-4010, and the monthly dividing line is between 3930-3960. Maintaining above the 60-day moving average is essential to sustain a bull market, while staying above the 250-day moving average is crucial to avoid reverting to a bear market [4]
收评:一旦量能不济,调整随时会来,3996-3986一带已不容再失
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-05 08:12
Group 1 - The market showed a strong performance with a significant increase, closing above 4015, indicating a bullish trend [2][3] - The index reached new highs in the afternoon, with both the main index and the ChiNext index showing strong bullish signals [3] - The trading volume has been a driving force behind the current upward movement, but there are concerns about potential adjustments if the volume weakens [3] Group 2 - Key resistance levels for the market are identified at 4030, 4034, and 4051, while support levels are at 4006, 3996, and 3986 [4] - For the ChiNext index, the strong and weak dividing line is at 3295, with resistance levels at 3313, 3331, and 3348, and support levels at 3269, 3255, and 3239 [4] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that maintaining a position above the 60-day moving average is necessary to sustain a bull market, while staying above the 250-day moving average is crucial to avoid a return to a bear market [4]
明天几乎又是许涨不许跌了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-29 08:46
Core Viewpoint - The market shows potential for a mid-term strengthening, with short-term bullish advantages but limited strength. Key resistance levels are identified, and maintaining certain support levels is crucial for future movements [1][4][14]. Market Performance - The market opened at 3964, reached a high of 3983, and closed at 3965, with a significant number of stocks declining compared to those that rose, indicating a bearish sentiment [2]. - The trading day exhibited volatility, with major indices hitting new intraday lows, reflecting a lack of clear upward momentum [2][16]. Technical Analysis - The market needs to close above 3960 to be considered acceptable, with a stronger close above 3980 being preferable. The closing above 3960 was deemed marginally acceptable, indicating a potential for mid-term strength [4][16]. - Key resistance levels are identified at 3983 and 3988, with a breakthrough of 3988 necessary for further upward movement towards 4034 [5][18]. Short-term Outlook - The next trading day is critical, with a focus on whether the market can surpass 3983. If it fails to do so, this could indicate a short-term peak [5][17]. - The market's performance is closely monitored, with specific attention to the support level at 3936, which must hold to confirm the significance of the recent low at 3815 [5][17]. Market Sentiment - The overall sentiment remains cautious, with indications that the market may experience fluctuations rather than a straightforward decline. The potential for a month-long adjustment period is acknowledged [7][18]. - The market's current state is characterized by a mix of bullish and bearish signals, with the possibility of both upward and downward movements in the near term [17].
收评:多头掌控局面但已优势有限,明天几乎又是许涨不许跌了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-29 08:10
Group 1 - The market closed with a small K-line above 3960, indicating a cautious but acceptable outcome despite a new low during the afternoon session [2] - The overall market sentiment shows more declines than gains among individual stocks, with the index reflecting a bearish trend in the short term [2] - The market is expected to face critical levels, with a need to maintain above 3960 to avoid forming a short-term peak, and a breakthrough above 3988 is necessary for further upward movement [3] Group 2 - Key resistance levels for the market are identified at 3979, 3988, and 4007, while support levels are at 3956, 3945, and 3936 [4] - The ChiNext index has a strong and weak dividing line at 3268, with resistance at 3250, 3260, and 3281, and support at 3208, 3204, and 3190 [4] - The medium to long-term outlook indicates that maintaining above the 60-day moving average is essential to return to a bull market, while staying above the 250-day moving average is necessary to avoid a bear market [4]