大盘走势分析

Search documents
收评:依旧处于中短线许涨不许跌的状态,周四是时间窗
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-03 07:32
Group 1 - The market is currently in a state where short-term trends are favoring upward movements, with a focus on breaking key resistance levels [2][3] - The index closed above 3357, indicating a generally acceptable outcome despite the lack of strong upward momentum [2][3] - Key resistance levels for the market are identified at 3368-3394 and 3418-3439, while support levels are at 3350, 3340, and 3336 [4] Group 2 - The ChiNext index shows a similar trend, with short-term bullish sentiment but uncertainty regarding mid-term strength [3] - The critical support and resistance levels for the ChiNext index are set at 2033 for strength, with pressures at 2016, 2023, and 2043 [4] - The overall market sentiment remains cautious, with a need for a decisive breakout above 3394-3413 to maintain upward momentum [3]
午评:未见向下补缺之意,若想击退空头还需再接再厉
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-03 04:48
Group 1 - The market sentiment is currently in a state where short-term trends are favoring upward movements, with a focus on breaking key resistance levels [2] - The index has shown mixed performance, with a need to maintain levels above 3354 to sustain bullish momentum [3] - Key technical levels for the market are identified, with 3355-3335 being critical for determining strength or weakness [3] Group 2 - The market needs to close above 3357 for a positive outlook, with higher targets set at 3367 and 3377 [3] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that maintaining levels above 3350-3380 is essential for a bullish trend, while levels below 3320-3350 could signal a bearish reversal [3] - The market is currently above the 60-day moving average, which is necessary to keep the bull market intact [3]
收评:主力意图不明,继续关注日关键区域上沿和3330一线的得失
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-26 09:00
Group 1 - The market showed weakness in the afternoon, failing to maintain key resistance levels, closing below 3361, indicating a short-term bearish trend [2] - The index's performance was characterized by a small K-line and a bearish trend in the ChiNext index, raising questions about the potential for a mid-term recovery [2] - Key support level to watch is 3330; maintaining this level is crucial to avoid further declines towards 3300 [2] Group 2 - Short-term technical indicators suggest that the market needs to stay above 3355 to maintain a bullish outlook, with critical levels identified between 3357 and 3332 [3] - The strong and weak dividing line for the market is at 3394, with resistance levels at 3362, 3371, and 3382, and support levels at 3336, 3324, and 3310 [3] - Mid to long-term trends indicate that the market must remain above 60-day and 250-day moving averages to sustain a bullish phase and avoid a return to a bearish market [3]
收评:受制于3394的大格局未变,稍有变化的是3347-3337已不宜再失
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-13 10:04
Group 1 - The market faced resistance in the 3364-3394 range, indicating a potential short-term adjustment if trading volume does not increase [2][3] - The index closed at 3372, showing a slight bullish control despite a majority of individual stocks declining [2] - The market remains in a consolidation phase between 3364-3394 and 3327-3317, with a need to maintain above 3347-3337 for bullish sentiment [2] Group 2 - The short-term technical outlook indicates that the critical support level is around 3337, with bullish sentiment only if the index remains above this level [3] - Key resistance levels for the market are identified at 3382, 3394, and 3401, while support levels are at 3364, 3353, and 3340 [4] - The mid to long-term outlook suggests that maintaining above the 60-day moving average is essential to sustain a bullish market, while staying above the 250-day moving average is necessary to avoid a return to a bearish market [4]
午评:封闭掉3342缺口后,总体应看好后市,3310一线已不容再失
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 07:01
Group 1 - The market showed strong upward momentum at the beginning of the trading day, with a significant gap up and a new rebound high of 3314, indicating a strong trend for the start of the month and week [2] - A breakthrough above the resistance levels of 3317-3342 is necessary to confirm the strength of the market, while maintaining above 3300 is crucial for a potential upward shift [2][3] - The closing levels for the day are critical, with a target to close above 3326, ideally above 3336, to indicate strength, while a close below 3316 would be concerning [4] Group 2 - The daily life line is positioned around 3295, and the market must remain above this level to maintain a bullish outlook [3] - Key resistance levels for the market are identified between 3296-3305, with the upper boundary being essential for continued upward movement [3] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that the market must stay above the 60-day moving average to maintain a bullish state, and above the 250-day moving average to avoid reverting to a bearish market [4]
午评:周初月初都有选择强势走势之意,但能否得逞现在还很难判断
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-06 07:08
Group 1 - The market showed a strong upward trend in early trading, with individual stocks performing better than indices, indicating a potential bullish sentiment [2] - The previous trading day's closing analysis suggested that the index needed to stabilize above 3300 for a stronger upward movement, with key resistance levels at 3317-3342 and support at 3280 [2] - The short-term technical outlook indicated that the market needed to stay above the critical level of 3287 to maintain a bullish stance, with fluctuations expected between the identified gaps [2] Group 2 - The afternoon outlook suggested that a closing above 3296 would be acceptable, while a close above 3306 would be considered good, and above 3316 would be strong, with a minimum requirement to close above 3286 [3] - The mid to long-term market dynamics indicated that May's weekly strong and weak dividing line was between 3280-3320, and the monthly dividing line was between 3300-3350 [3] - The market needed to remain above the 120-day moving average to maintain a bullish market state and above the 250-day moving average to avoid reverting to a bearish market [3]
月评:红五月可期,月初强弱选择很关键
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-01 01:42
具体来说,不失3320一线才有转圜余地,突破3380-3400才可能出现机会,一旦失守3300一线则危险就会降临。真正的机会出现需要突破3442-3461大缺 口,而一旦危险降临则会有可能回打3250-3220一带,极限甚至可能回打3174-3140一带(小概率对待)。强压力在3494-3509,想攻击这里的难度极大(小 概率对待)。 总体来看:目前属中期转强出现疑问。四月收上3380才行,收上3410才好,收上3440为强,收上3350是最低要求。 实盘:开盘3340,最高3361,最低3040,收盘3279,收出一根高开探底回升的小阴,跌幅1.70%。收盘在5季线上、在5月线下、在5周线下。实盘是清明 节后被不靠谱发动的关税战完全打乱了节奏,同时也是错失机会陷入危局之态。收盘结果属中期走坏。 大盘月线图: 上次月评《四月危机并存、不进则退》主要观点:四月危机并存、不进则退。 五月的技术面: 季线图看:5季线向上,在3254附近;10季线向上,在3187附近;20季线向上,在3278附近;30季线向上,在3155附近;60季线向上,在2952附近。不失5 季线中长期才有反转可能。 月线图看:5月线向下,在3 ...
收评:明天月周收官,也是本周关键时点,月k收阴已难改,周k还存变数
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-30 10:07
前一交易日收评:收盘为空头占优但优势不大,若再失守3280就会有回打3260的可能。午评:总体呈现弱势整理状态,明天是本周的关键时点 午后窄振,最终收在3288之下,结果不可接受。个股涨多跌少。大盘和创指均按早盘分型定式报收了小k线。 大盘收出低开的缩量小k,中期走坏,短线空头占优。创指收出低开的缩量小k,中期走坏,短线空头占优。 前一交易日收盘点评"今天是有分寸的弱势振荡状态,3280一线失而复得,收盘为空头占优但优势不大。继续小心:一根中大阳完成任务或一 根中大阴调整展开。站稳3300才有转强可能,突破3317-3342才能转强,若再失守3280就会有回打3260的可能"。今天弱势整理状态延续,收盘 依旧是空头占优但优势不大。明天月周收官,也是本周关键时点,月k收阴已难改,周k还存变数。站稳3300才有转强可能,突破3317-3342才 能转强,若再失守3280就会有回打3260附近的可能。操作上,上下俩缺口间振荡,反复做T;先补上面,看多;先补下面,看空。 短线技术面:明天日生命线在3285附近,运行在其上才能看多。大盘日级别关键区域大致3285-3304,在上沿之上运行才是强势,才会反复上 攻,失守上 ...
午评:弱势振荡很有分寸,或许以时间换空间?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 00:35
Group 1 - The market showed a weak oscillation with more stocks declining than rising, indicating a cautious outlook for the upcoming trading sessions [2] - The critical support level is at 3280, and if it is lost, there is a possibility of a drop to 3260 [2] - The market needs to close above 3288 to maintain a bullish sentiment, with stronger signals coming from closing above 3308 and 3317 [4] Group 2 - The daily life line is at approximately 3289, and the market must stay above this level to maintain a bullish outlook [3] - The key range for the market is between 3285 and 3305, with a strong trend only if it operates above the upper boundary [3] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that the market must remain above the 60-day moving average to sustain a bullish phase and above the 250-day moving average to avoid returning to a bearish market [4]