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跌过头后的超跌反弹,明天是时间窗
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-03 11:49
Market Overview - The market opened at 4043, reached a low of 4002, a high of 4069, and closed at 4067, with a bullish trend as 4856 stocks rose against 532 that fell [1] - Historical patterns indicate that stocks are showing signs of resilience, which is often seen before a market bottom [1] - The closing above 4064 is deemed acceptable, while a close above 4084 would be better, and above 4103 would indicate strong market conditions [1] Technical Analysis - The daily key areas for the major indices are identified, with the market currently positioned between 4096 and 4027, closing above the lower boundary [4] - The short-term technical outlook suggests that the market is in a mixed state, with potential for both upward and downward movements [7][8] - The daily life line is around 4090, and staying above this level is necessary for a bullish outlook [8] Index Performance - The major indices showed varied performance, with the main index closing as a small bullish candle, indicating a potential reversal pattern [7] - The ChiNext index closed with a small bullish candle, suggesting short-term bullish sentiment despite a mid-term bearish outlook [7] Future Projections - The possibility of breaking through the 4190 level before the Spring Festival is considered low, indicating a cautious outlook for the near term [2] - Key resistance and support levels for the indices have been outlined, with significant levels at 4131 for the market and 3368 for the ChiNext index [8]
午评:今天能否站回4034和确保不失3983是主要看点
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-03 04:49
前一交易日收评:4012-3970已不容再失。周三是个时间窗 早盘高开,振荡没有方向感。个股普涨。早盘分型定式大盘和创指均为收阴(午后见盘中新高才会被扭转)。 前一交易日收盘点评"今天巨幅低开后低走,一度跌下4034,短期已越走越弱,中期已有走软之危,收盘为空头掌控局面。接下来站回4124才 有望止跌,站上4145才有望转好,突破4170才能结束调整,4012-3970已不容再失。周三是个时间窗"。早盘大幅高开在4034之上,有昨天跌过 头了的意思,权重股打压使得大盘还在创新低,目前已切入了4012-3970区域,今天能否站回4034和确保不失3983是主要看点,收上4064才有 不想再跌之意。午后,在4035-4056之上才行,在4066-4079之上才好,冲击4084-4103才强,不宜跌下4012-4001,不可失守3983-3970。操作 上,不失4012-3970一带可先搏短;无力突破4192-4214应先减仓。 短线技术面:今天日生命线在4090附近,运行在其上才能看多。大盘日级别关键区域目前在4094-4024,在上沿之上运行才是强势,才会反复 上攻,失守上沿是转弱,失守下沿是走坏。就技术指标来 ...
午评:后半段整体表现还是不错的,再攻4034的可能性在增大
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-05 05:19
Market Overview - The market opened higher, indicating an upward trend, with more stocks rising than falling. The early market pattern showed both the main index and the ChiNext Index closing positively, although the advantage was slight [2] - The previous trading day's closing commentary suggested that a significant move was unlikely, with the market needing to break above 3988 to target 4034, while maintaining above 3960 was crucial [2] Technical Analysis - The short-term technical outlook indicates that the critical support level is around 3950, and staying above this level is necessary for a bullish sentiment. The key range for the main index is between 3947 and 3910, with a strong performance expected only if it remains above the upper boundary [3] - For the afternoon session, a close above 3995 is acceptable, while closing above 4005 is preferred, and above 4015 is considered strong. The minimum requirement is to close above 3985 [3] Mid to Long-term Outlook - The weekly strength threshold for January is identified between 3960 and 4010, while the monthly threshold is between 3930 and 3960. Maintaining above the 60-day moving average is essential to sustain a bull market, and staying above the 250-day moving average is necessary to avoid reverting to a bear market [3]
午评:此种走势让人很不踏实,小心点冲高回落是必须的
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-29 05:32
Group 1 - The market showed a mixed performance with more stocks declining than rising, indicating a lack of strong upward momentum [2] - The critical support level for the market is at 3960, and it is essential to maintain above this level to avoid further declines [2] - The market's short-term outlook suggests caution, with potential for a short-term peak if it fails to break above 3988 [2] Group 2 - The daily key level is around 3930, and the market must stay above this to maintain a bullish outlook [3] - The mid-term critical levels are identified at 3920-4000 for weekly trends and 3900-3960 for monthly trends, with the need to stay above the 60-day moving average to avoid a bearish market [3] - A closing above 3970 is acceptable, while a close above 3980 is considered good, and above 3990 is strong [3]
收评:接下来应以防形成短期高点为主,运行在3960之上才行
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-26 07:42
Group 1 - The market is showing signs of potential strength, with a focus on breaking through the resistance level of 3988 for further upward movement towards 4034 [2][3] - The closing of the market indicates a bullish control, with the need to maintain above the support level of 3936 to avoid further declines [3] - Key technical indicators suggest that the market is in a critical phase, with the daily life line at approximately 3928, and maintaining above this level is essential for a bullish outlook [3] Group 2 - The strong and weak dividing line for the market is set at 3977, with pressure levels at 3971, 3988, and 4007, while support levels are at 3957, 3945, and 3936 [4] - For the ChiNext index, the strong and weak dividing line is at 3268, with pressure levels at 3260, 3281, and 3313, and support levels at 3232, 3219, and 3204 [4] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that the market needs to stay above the 60-day moving average to return to a bullish state, and above the 250-day moving average to avoid a bearish trend [4]
午评:大幅低开莫名其妙,大三金一通猛拉,整体表现不够好但还凑合
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-15 04:28
Group 1 - The market failed to reclaim the 3894 level, indicating a slight regret, with bears controlling the situation but their advantage being limited [2] - The market opened significantly lower but was pulled back by a strong performance in certain stocks, resulting in a mixed overall performance [2] - Key resistance levels are identified at 3936, with 3954-3988 acting as significant barriers [2] Group 2 - The short-term technical outlook suggests that the market needs to stay above 3895 to maintain a bullish sentiment, with critical zones at 3894-3893 [3] - A breakdown below the upper boundary of the key area would indicate weakness, while a drop below the lower boundary would signal a deteriorating market [3] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that the strong and weak dividing lines for December are between 3920-4000, with the 60-day moving average being crucial for a return to a bull market [4]
午评:只要3931缺口无力封闭就无法排除回补今天跳空的可能性
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 06:07
Group 1 - The market is showing signs of recovery after a second bottoming out, with expectations to attempt to fill the gap between 3922-3931 in the near future [2] - The key resistance levels are identified at 3954-3988, and a failure to break through these levels may require a reduction in positions [2] - The daily life line is at approximately 3903, and staying above this level is crucial for a bullish outlook [3] Group 2 - The current critical area for the market is between 3902-3894, with a strong performance expected only if it remains above the upper boundary [3] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that the strong and weak dividing lines for the weekly level are between 3920-4000, while the monthly level is between 3900-3960 [3] - To avoid reverting to a bear market, the market needs to stay above the 250-day moving average [3]
午评:如果今天就这么不死不活地磨叽一天,那明天就必需向上才行了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-02 04:11
Group 1 - The market needs to maintain above 3900 for a bullish sentiment, with 3880 as a critical support level and resistance between 3922-3936 [2][4] - The trading volume is crucial; if it does not support upward movement, there may be fluctuations [2] - The daily life line is at approximately 3905, and staying above this level is necessary for a bullish outlook [3] Group 2 - A closing above 3900 is acceptable, while above 3910 is favorable, and above 3920 is strong; at least a close above 3890 is required [4] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that the key resistance levels are between 3920-4000 for the weekly and 3900-3960 for the monthly [4] - To return to a bull market, the index must stay above the 60-day moving average, and to avoid a bear market, it must remain above the 250-day moving average [4]
收评:运行在3900之上才行,若量能跟不上还得防有所反复
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-01 07:57
Group 1 - The market showed signs of a potential breakout between the 5-month and 5-week moving averages, with a closing above 3900 indicating a short-term bullish control [2][3] - The index closed with a small bullish candle, suggesting a short-term advantage for bulls, despite a mid-term weakening [3] - Key resistance levels are identified at 3912-3922, while support levels are at 3880, indicating critical points for market movement [4][5] Group 2 - The daily critical area for the market is between 3907 and 3894, with a strong trend expected only if it remains above this range [4] - The short-term technical indicators suggest potential upward movement, but caution is advised if volume does not support the rally [3][4] - The long-term outlook indicates that maintaining above the 60-day moving average is necessary to return to a bull market, while staying above the 250-day moving average is essential to avoid a bear market [5]
收评:周收官能否站稳3900是主要看点,再冲一旦量能不济调整随时会来
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-09 08:14
Group 1 - The market has shown a rare five consecutive bullish monthly candles, indicating a potential for further upward movement, with the critical level at 3860 not to be breached [2] - Major indices have reached new highs for the year, with the market closing above 3920, reflecting strong bullish control [2] - The daily technical indicators suggest that the market is in a strong position, but there are concerns about volume and potential adjustments if the upward momentum cannot be sustained [2][3] Group 2 - Key resistance levels for the market are identified at 3943, 3985, and 4006, while support levels are at 3912, 3906, and 3898 [4] - The long-term outlook indicates that the market must remain above the 60-day moving average to maintain a bullish trend, and above the 250-day moving average to avoid reverting to a bearish market [4]